June 21st, 2024

Climate Zones

Climate scientists project a significant global temperature rise by 2070, leading to shifts in climate zones. A study predicts transformations in 70 cities, impacting 90 million people. Moscow remains in the cold classification.

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Climate Zones

Climate scientists predict a significant rise in global temperatures by 2070, leading to shifts in climate zones worldwide. The Köppen Climate Classification system categorizes climates based on vegetation, temperature, and precipitation, with 30 unique subclassifications. A study by climatologist Hylke Beck projects changes in climate zones for 70 global cities, highlighting transformations like Los Angeles becoming arid like New Delhi and Scandinavia transitioning to a temperate climate. The shift will impact nearly 90 million people currently living in temperate zones, as these areas become more tropical or arid. Moscow stands out as the sole city remaining in the cold classification. These changes prompt reflection on the planet's evolving climate diversity and the implications for different regions. The future tool allows users to explore how cities will adapt to new climate zones, offering insights into the potential climate similarities between cities across the globe.

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By @doctorhandshake - 5 months
I generally love the stuff Pudding does but I found this really hard to follow. Key colors not matching map colors, very similar (indistinguishable) colors used in one case, and the crux new-zone projection looked like a word salad. Haven’t looked on desktop but on mobile I found this whole thing borderline illegible.
By @throw0101c - 5 months
This is about Koppen and simulated shifting due to climate change:

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Köppen_climate_classification

In the US, for construction, the IECC's system is used, and there was a recent update to a few dozen counties:

> However, with new research based on measured temperature data from over 4000 weather stations throughout North America over the last 25 years, the IECC designated changes to the CZ map for the first time in nearly 20 years. The outcome was that about 10% of counties in the U.S. were placed in a new CZ. In nearly all cases, the shift was to a warmer (lower) CZ, reflecting a general warming of the climate in those areas. The first set of maps below show the old CZs on the left and the new ones on the right. The shaded area across the west in the image on the right highlights the "dry" sub-climates. In most cases, the shift in CZ is relatively subtle.

* https://www.jm.com/en/blog/2021/march/understanding-the-iecc...

* https://theber.com/iecc-climate-zone-updates/

* https://basc.pnnl.gov/images/iecc-climate-zone-map

By @muglug - 5 months
Some buggy JS — it only reports one city's temperature transition numbers, then those same numbers are repeated for each selected city.
By @mempko - 5 months
Some beautiful visualizations here. However, one problem with it is that we are still talking about averages. This doesn't demonstrate the increase in weather variability that global warming will bring. These climate zones will have crazier extremes than in the past.

While the temperature increase is an average, the increase in extreme temperatures will be non-linear.

By @57FkMytWjyFu - 5 months
I loathe "keep scrolling to animate pages". Just give me the information, and stop showing off.
By @sundiver - 5 months
What I couldn't see, or what wasn't mentioned, is the imminent collapse of the Gulf Stream. I had read that this would paradoxically lead to a "new ice age" for Western and Northern Europe in the next 100 years. Is this scenario ruled out by science after all, or is it simply not taken into account here?
By @zug_zug - 5 months
Powerful stuff. Really helps make it feel more real by drawing comparisons to knowable reference points.
By @BatmansMom - 5 months
Feels like not many discuss how Climate Change would effect Geopolitical tensions. This page makes it obvious how Western enemies like China and Russia may benefit from land now frigid becoming more temperate
By @nmeofthestate - 5 months
Sorry to be negative but this website is completely awful on mobile. And some of the map colours are virtually indistinguishable from each other.
By @fuzzythinker - 5 months
Love it, but at where Los Angeles moves to become like New Delhi in the 4 columns shown, my MBP 2016 GPU spiked to 880% and gets stuck til I shut down the process. Needs some optimization.
By @salamo - 5 months
Seems like the old -> new temperatures are the same for each city.
By @chasing - 5 months
I grew up in Austin. People are arriving in droves for the cool scene and bustling economy, which is great. But a few degrees in Austin means a shift from having part of the late summer that's obnoxiously hot to having a part of the year when it's literally dangerous to go outside because of the heat.

Feels like we fail to understand how perilous just a few degrees might be to certain cities already on the climate edge...