July 25th, 2024

China doubles subsidies for EVs in its 'cash for clunkers' program

China has cut its one-year benchmark lending rate to stimulate its economy, while doubling EV subsidies to boost consumer spending and promote green technology amid ongoing economic challenges.

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China doubles subsidies for EVs in its 'cash for clunkers' program

China has taken significant steps to stimulate its slowing economy by cutting its one-year benchmark lending rate by 20 basis points to 2.3%, marking the largest reduction since the COVID-19 pandemic began. The People's Bank of China also lowered the rate on 7-day loans to 1.7%. In conjunction with these rate cuts, major state-run banks have reduced deposit rates, which may not effectively encourage consumer spending, a critical factor for economic recovery. The economy grew at an annual rate of 4.7% in the last quarter, down from 5.3% earlier in the year, amid ongoing challenges in the property sector.

Additionally, the Chinese government has doubled subsidies for electric vehicles (EVs) as part of its "cash for clunkers" program, aimed at replacing older vehicles. Eligible purchases of EVs will receive subsidies of 20,000 yuan (approximately $2,750), while subsidies for fuel-efficient cars will be 15,000 yuan (around $2,100). The program also includes incentives for new energy-efficient appliances and aims to generate demand across various sectors. The National Development and Reform Commission plans to invest tens of billions of yuan in these initiatives, which coincide with a broader strategy to address economic growth challenges and promote green technology. These measures come as global markets face downturns, particularly in China, where stock indices have seen significant losses.

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By @toomuchtodo - 5 months
This will speed up their domestic electric mobility transition, and as their market saturates, they will eventually point the firehose of affordable EVs (from the built up manufacturing base) at the rest of the world that doesn’t punitively tariff. This should also contribute to demand destruction for petroleum for light vehicle mobility [1].

With every housing unit ever needed already built [2], China is going Big Tech and Clean Energy [3]. It was unfortunate how much real estate consumed their economy, but being the clean energy and mobility factory to the world (with an enormous global total addressable market) is a rising tide that lifts all boats.

A bit of my analysis is: perhaps the developed/Western world should consider similar subsidies?

[1] https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3260353... | https://archive.today/rIOAC ("PetroChina: rapid EV uptake means oil consumption for transport to peak by next year ‘at the latest’ in China")

[2] https://www.reuters.com/world/china/even-chinas-14-bln-popul... ("Even China's 1.4 billion population can't fill all its vacant homes, former official says")

[3] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-15/evs-solar... | https://archive.today/LOdqN ("Bloomberg: Xi Jinping’s Great Economic Rewiring Is Cushioning China’s Slowdown")

By @hank_f - 5 months
Chinese EVs are impressive. I saw BYD once and the difference in quality between a model-3 is stark. Especially the interior.