Why is Xi Jinping building commodity stockpiles?
China is stockpiling essential commodities like grain and oil despite expected demand declines, driven by population growth and wealth. Analysts view this as a strategic move amid economic challenges.
Read original articleIn recent years, China has been accumulating significant stockpiles of essential commodities such as grain, natural gas, and oil, despite a general expectation that its demand for these resources would decline. This trend is attributed to the country's growing population and increasing wealth, which have historically driven up consumption of various raw materials. However, China's economy has faced challenges, including political mismanagement and a property crisis, prompting officials to express a desire to transition away from resource-intensive industries. The apparent contradiction between the expected decrease in commodity demand and the actual increase in stockpiling raises concerns about potential economic troubles ahead. Analysts suggest that these secretive stockpiles may be a strategic move by Xi Jinping's administration to prepare for future uncertainties, possibly indicating a looming crisis or a need for greater self-sufficiency in critical resources. The situation reflects a complex interplay of economic pressures and strategic planning as China navigates its evolving economic landscape.
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Much better to exchange them for something useful.
I couldn't read whether those additional 16% last year (after a pandemic and the unexpected 3-day SMO by Ruzzia in 2022) are just a fluke or way above the e.g 2014-2019 average. Also, how much of those 16% are cheap Ruzzia oil? The drop this year could be explained with Ukraine's successful campaign on Ruzzia's refineries and export bans on some oil products that already have been extended beyond the harvest season. Are we sure China is intentionally building up stockpiles or it is accidentally because it's not able to shift imported raw materials into its stuttering economy?
Just picking one commodity here: Gas of which China now has 23 days worth of storage is ridiculously small compared to the whole year that Austria has in it's storage. Other players like the US have even more natural gas stored, in it's natural habitat below earth and not in facilities that are easy targets for modern missiles.
I understand the danger of mainland China attacking the Republic of China, but it would be much more suicidal for China than Ruzzia's attack on Taiwan. Argentina is mentioned in the article, they plan to drop their own currency for the US dollar, thus no action against the will of Washington will happen.
"Now Mr Trump, who makes no secret of his desire to hobble China, has a decent chance of returning to power. In a confrontation, America could restrict its own food exports to China, which have rebounded since a truce of sorts was reached, and lean on other big suppliers such as Argentina and Brazil to do likewise. It could try to influence countries that sell metals to China, including Australia and Chile. And most of China’s commodity imports are shipped through a few straits and canals that America could seek to block for Chinese vessels by, say, posting military ships nearby.
...
For now, the evidence suggests that hoarding is more likely to be a defensive measure, since it is not yet on a scale to be secure in a hot conflict"
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Also, lots of people forget that Chinese who grew up in the 1990s tend to be fairly anti-American due to the Tiannamen Sanctions, the Taiwan Straits Crisis, and the bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade along with the Collapse of the USSR and the Gulf War (the Iraqi Army used the same doctrine and weaponry as the PLA in the 1990s).
There is a massive culture gap between Chinese and American leadership, and it has the potential of spiraling into conflict if diplomacy and openness in the relationship isn't managed.
Both sides think the other is out to get them.
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