July 30th, 2024

Microsoft stock drops over 6% after results fall short in AI disappointment

Microsoft's stock fell over 6% after its earnings report, missing cloud revenue targets despite beating overall expectations. AI services contributed to growth, but shares dropped further in after-hours trading.

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Microsoft stock drops over 6% after results fall short in AI disappointment

Microsoft's stock fell over 6% following its fiscal fourth quarter earnings report, which, while beating overall revenue and earnings expectations, missed specific cloud revenue targets. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.95 on revenue of $64.7 billion, slightly above Wall Street's expectations of $2.94 EPS and $64.5 billion in revenue. However, its Intelligent Cloud revenue, which includes Azure services, came in at $28.5 billion, below the anticipated $28.7 billion. Despite this, overall cloud revenue was in line with expectations at $36.8 billion, and the company noted that AI services contributed significantly to its growth.

In after-hours trading, Microsoft shares dropped more than 7%, impacting other AI-focused companies like Meta, which also saw a decline. Analysts noted that Microsoft has been gaining market share from competitors like Google and Amazon, attributed to its early advancements in AI. UBS analysts highlighted that many customers reported increased engagement with Microsoft’s Azure services, reinforcing its competitive position in the cloud market.

The earnings report follows Alphabet's recent announcement, which indicated a rise in cloud revenue due to AI interest, although it did not provide specific figures. As Microsoft navigates these challenges, it remains a key player in the cloud sector, with ongoing investments in AI expected to shape its future performance.

Link Icon 14 comments
By @CameronBanga - 3 months
We'll see where we end up 5 years from now, but I think we may see Apple in a very nice position with AI by having tight integration with their platform, they'll never be first in AI so they won't have the expectation to lead the market, and their on-device first strategy may help keep costs from inflating wildly out of control if high-compute features fizzle out.

As with all AI so far, still lacking to see the "why". Microsoft came out hard, but still don't see why other than generating potentially very wrong information or goofy looking pictures.

By @whynotmaybe - 3 months
Could we say that we've reached the "Peak of inflated expectations" on the Gartner hype curve for AI and we're softly entering the "Trough of disillusionment"?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gartner_hype_cycle

By @pton_xd - 3 months
I'd settle for a functional Alexa at this point. Or maybe a mobile keyboard that doesn't constantly make me typo. Surely applied AI can at least improve these areas of my life within the next few years.
By @bparsons - 3 months
I think the short term business case for LLMs is failing to materialize. It is close, but not quite ready for prime time. I think of the promise of internet commerce in 1996. Everyone understood the potential, but we were still a few years away from the rubber meeting the road.
By @GiorgioG - 3 months
Maybe...finally the AI bubble is about to burst. Sell that NVIDIA stock folks if you were lucky enough to get them cheap.
By @0xTJ - 3 months
Great, their direction with Windows has been irritating enough that I've left and don't plan to come back to it. I can't understand the perspective of whatever executive decided to shoehorn AI features into Windows in the way they did.
By @Zelphyr - 3 months
Hard to believe ham-handedly shoving AI into everything they see, whether it needs it or not, whether it works or not, isn't working out for them.
By @com2kid - 3 months
To be clear

> $28.5 billion versus expectations of $28.7 billion.

At the scale of MS, that is a dozen or so missed large contracts out of thousands they likely signed. It is hardly the end of the world.

I am more curious about how they are going to get away with constantly giving copilot branded AI features away as part of the core OS.

By @waylandsmithers - 3 months
Meanwhile, the overall results don't make it seem like the sky is falling

> For the quarter, Microsoft reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.95 on revenue of $64.7 billion. Wall Street was anticipating EPS of $2.94 on revenue of $64.5 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

By @peppertree - 3 months
I pay for ChatGPT pro subscription and I use it far more than Google these days. I believe OpenAI can unseat Google but it's going to take far longer than one quarter.
By @keernan - 3 months
I believe the most immediate AI impact will be identifying patterns in data that result in breakthroughs in medicine and other science fields.
By @xnx - 3 months
NVDA also down 7% today, so not specific to MSFT.
By @xyst - 3 months
Ai is overhyped. No surprise. Also microshit suite was down for most of the day. So it was a business day off. Lol