Ukraine's incursion into Russia may have changed the course of the war

Ukraine's recent military incursion into Russia's Kursk region marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict, being the largest invasion of Russian territory since World War II. This operation has surprised Moscow and prompted a vow of retaliation. Strategic studies professor Phillips O’Brien from the University of St. Andrews highlights that Ukraine's actions aim to alter the dynamics of the war, compelling Russia to defend its borders, which it has not had to do previously. The incursion exposes weaknesses in the Russian military, which has been heavily focused on the Donbas region and lacks reserves. While some analysts warn of potential overreach by Ukraine, O’Brien argues that the operation is strategically sound, as it avoids the high casualties associated with direct confrontations in Donbas. The implications for Russian President Vladimir Putin are significant; if Ukraine can hold territory within Russia, it undermines his image of strength and control. The situation is expected to evolve, with Ukraine likely maintaining its position unless Russia mobilizes a substantial force to reclaim the territory.

- Ukraine's incursion into Russia is the largest since World War II and has surprised Moscow.

- The operation aims to force Russia to defend its borders and reveals weaknesses in its military.

- Analysts express concerns about overreach, but many Ukrainians believe the strategy is sound.

- Holding territory within Russia could significantly damage Putin's image and authority.

- The conflict is expected to continue with Ukraine maintaining its position unless faced with a large Russian counterforce.