November 21st, 2024

USCC recommends a Manhattan Project for AGI, claiming race against China

The US-China AI rivalry is escalating, with calls for a significant investment in AGI. However, the report lacks evidence of China's rapid progress and emphasizes cooperation over competition.

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USCC recommends a Manhattan Project for AGI, claiming race against China

The US-China AI rivalry is intensifying, with the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) advocating for a significant investment in a program aimed at achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). This recommendation, likened to a Manhattan Project, is based on the assertion that China is advancing rapidly towards AGI. However, the report lacks substantial evidence to support this claim, with only a few mentions of AGI throughout its extensive 793 pages. Critics argue that the report fails to provide a clear analysis of China's actual AI ambitions, which appear to focus more on industrial growth rather than an immediate push for AGI. China's 2017 AI development plan outlines goals for becoming a leading AI innovation center by 2030, but these targets do not necessarily indicate a race towards AGI. Recent discussions between US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping highlight a call for cooperation on AI as a global challenge. The report also exhibits technical inaccuracies, raising concerns about the authors' understanding of AI concepts. Overall, the narrative surrounding a militarized AI race may be driven more by fear and speculation than by concrete evidence, echoing historical precedents of exaggerated threats that led to unnecessary escalations.

- The USCC calls for a Manhattan Project-like initiative to achieve AGI, citing concerns over China's advancements.

- The report lacks substantial evidence to support claims of China's rapid progress towards AGI.

- China's AI goals focus on industrial growth rather than an immediate push for AGI.

- Recent US-China discussions emphasize cooperation on AI as a global challenge.

- The report contains technical inaccuracies, raising questions about its authors' expertise in AI.

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