June 26th, 2024

Drone Adoption Favors Quantity over Quality in Warfare

The global military adoption of drones lags behind their development. Early adopters like Israel and Turkey fully integrate drones, while others limit them to niche roles due to institutional conservatism. Recent battlefield successes signal a shift towards wider adoption, expecting drones to become prevalent in major and minor powers' inventories, emphasizing quantity over quality in warfare.

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Drone Adoption Favors Quantity over Quality in Warfare

The development of drones has outpaced their adoption by militaries globally, with only a few early adopters like Israel and Turkey fully integrating them into their forces. Despite their potential, most modern militaries have limited drones to niche roles due to institutional conservatism. Recent battlefield successes in Syria, Libya, Nagorno-Karabakh, and Ukraine have showcased the effectiveness of drones in combat, signaling a shift towards wider adoption. Drones of various sizes and capabilities, from surveillance drones to unmanned combat aerial vehicles, are expected to become prevalent in the inventories of major and minor powers. This trend suggests that the 2020s will witness a significant transition towards leveraging drones for military operations, emphasizing quantity over quality in warfare.

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Link Icon 4 comments
By @runamuck - 4 months
This reminds me of the first historical example of "operations research," where the Army discovered the most effective combat gun shot the most bullets in the least amount of time (vs. Gun power, gun range, Marksman's skill)
By @xref - 4 months
[2022]

I’d imagine a lot more empirical evidence has been generated one way or the other in the intervening two years

By @metadat - 4 months

  This post is for paid subscribers
Thanks for the delightful submission.