July 2nd, 2024

America's startup boom around remote work and technology is still going strong

America experiences a startup boom since 2020, notably in online retail and tech, potentially boosting job creation and productivity. Uncertainty lingers on AI's impact and long-term transformative effects.

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America's startup boom around remote work and technology is still going strong

America has been experiencing a sustained startup boom since 2020, with a surge in new businesses being created at a record rate. This trend, particularly visible in online retail and tech startups like those focusing on artificial intelligence, is seen as a positive sign for job creation, innovation, and productivity growth in the economy. Economist John Haltiwanger highlights that the boom could lead to a long-awaited boost in productivity growth, similar to the dot-com boom of the 1990s. The rise of remote work due to the pandemic has influenced the types and locations of new businesses, with a shift towards suburban areas and tech startups. However, the impact of this startup boom on productivity growth is still uncertain, as it may take time for businesses to fully leverage technologies like AI and see tangible results in the economy. The ongoing debate among economists revolves around the potential of AI to revolutionize business processes and significantly enhance productivity. Despite the optimism surrounding the startup boom, questions remain about its long-term effects on the economy and whether it will lead to transformative changes akin to past industry giants like Google and Amazon.

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By @standardUser - 4 months
Migrating away from the most expensive cities and forgoing expensive office space is an obvious boon for startups. Which is why it's so odd that for most of a generation we mostly saw the opposite. How many companies did we see led by virgin founders, with zero concern for actually making money, sign outrageously large leases in the world's most expensive zip codes? And then, in an act defiance against god, proceeded to make further capital expenditures in the form of pool tables and Aeron chairs and artisan kegs of beer. Or, as a doomed biotech startup I worked for in SF tried to facilitate, a company trip to Burning Man.

I guess it was a 'fun' era, but it always rubbed me wrong. For me, the real perks were having a job that was not overly regimented and suffocated by bureaucracy/HR, a job that offered a chance at wealth beyond perpetual wage labor (while still earning a wage), and a job that would provide constant change and opportunities. That is a lot! For other people, it may be about what they get to work on or who they work with or the influence they are afforded within the organization. All good stuff, and rare. But the other 'perks' were designed to either keep you in the office for unreasonable hours or to recreate some aspects of college, I guess? I never got that last angle. I already went to college. It was great. But then I lived in a major city and had a decent income, so activities like eating in a cafeteria or playing foosball were no longer on my agenda.

By @shermantanktop - 4 months
In summary: coffee shops moved out from downtown, and a ton of AI startups.

The first group is just movement of demand, not net new anything.

The second group is mostly froth and the sheer number of 1-person AI startups that will fold within a year is not significant. In that group is likely to be some enduring, valuable businesses, but... under 10% at most.

By @eestrada - 4 months
It is mentioned in the article, but then quickly dismissed: people seeking income via creating new businesses after being laid off during the lockdowns.

I think there is a secondary effect here. Many people remember how many jobs were deemed "non-essential" and how many people were laid off. Building your own business is one way to insulate oneself from this.

I think some amount of continued momentum is people preparing for the next time government overeach interferes with their ability to feed and house themselves and their families.

By @supportengineer - 4 months
We need a better way to connect the job seekers to the companies actually hiring. To fight AI spam, perhaps the world will go back to in-person meetups and hiring fairs.
By @westurner - 4 months
> There's now a hole lacking vibrant economic activity in many major business districts, and a delicious fried dough of new business opportunities in the suburbs surrounding them. Office workers need their doughnuts, coffee and sandwiches near their office, which is now more often at home.
By @Der_Einzige - 4 months
Bidenomics baybee!