July 9th, 2024

A key part of America's economy has shifted into reverse

The US economy faces challenges with weakening sectors, including high unemployment rates and reduced consumer demand impacting service businesses like restaurants and dental clinics. Factors include inflation, interest rates, and debt burdens.

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A key part of America's economy has shifted into reverse

The US economy is facing challenges as a significant portion shows signs of weakness, with unemployment reaching a two-year high. Consumer demand has decreased this summer, impacting various service businesses like restaurants and dental clinics. The Institute for Supply Management reported a decline in new orders and overall economic activity in the services sector, indicating a contraction. This slowdown in demand could lead to slower hiring and potential job cuts in service-providing industries, which make up a large portion of US employment. Factors contributing to this economic shift include high inflation, rising interest rates, reduced pandemic savings, and increasing debt burdens on consumers. Businesses are cautious about hiring due to uncertain demand levels, with hiring in the services sector already showing a decline. The job market, which had previously shown strong recovery post-Covid, is now experiencing challenges with rising unemployment levels and concerns about inflation.

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By @mensetmanusman - 3 months
The number went from ~54 to ~49.

A reading above 50 indicates growth in the services sector, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction. The ISM releases this report monthly to provide a measure of economic conditions in the services sector.

By @sigmar - 3 months
49 doesn't seem that low? Especially since it was below 43 twice in 2023: https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_ism_manufacturing_new_orde...

Am I missing something or is CNN just sensationalizing?

By @arctics - 3 months
ISM services tracks mostly blue chip companies and we all know what these giant corps do... they outsource.
By @1oooqooq - 3 months
that's because service will be outsourced now that everything is online.
By @b3ing - 3 months
They already are testing out cashiers and servers via Zoom from the Philippines, so those jobs aren't safe either
By @jddj - 3 months
To save the click, that key part is services. Dropped to <50 in the Institute for Supply Management's monthly survey which implies contraction