July 16th, 2024

XLSTMTime: Long-Term Time Series Forecasting with xLSTM

The paper introduces xLSTM, an architecture for long-term time series forecasting. It addresses transformer model challenges, showing superior performance in real-world datasets. Authors: Musleh Alharthi and Ausif Mahmood.

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XLSTMTime: Long-Term Time Series Forecasting with xLSTM

The paper titled "xLSTMTime: Long-term Time Series Forecasting With xLSTM" introduces an extended LSTM (xLSTM) architecture for multivariate long-term time series forecasting (LTSF). This new model addresses challenges faced by transformer-based models, such as high computational demands and difficulty in capturing temporal dynamics. The xLSTM architecture incorporates exponential gating and a revised memory structure with higher capacity, showing promising potential for LTSF tasks. The study compares xLSTMTime's performance with state-of-the-art models across various real-world datasets, demonstrating superior forecasting capabilities. The findings suggest that refined recurrent architectures like xLSTMTime could provide competitive alternatives to transformer-based models in LTSF, potentially reshaping the landscape of time series forecasting. The paper is authored by Musleh Alharthi and Ausif Mahmood, and it is available for further exploration through the provided DOI link.

AI: What people are saying
The article on xLSTM for long-term time series forecasting generates diverse reactions.
  • Some professionals in economics and finance resonate with the value of LSTM models over transformers.
  • Questions arise about the general superiority of transformer models compared to non-deep learning models.
  • There is curiosity about the applicability of xLSTM to financial trading and event classification in time series.
  • Skepticism exists regarding the effectiveness of published time series forecasting methods in unpredictable domains like the stock market.
  • Some comments humorously misinterpret or criticize the potential misuse of the model in financial contexts.
Link Icon 11 comments
By @carbocation - 9 months
> In recent years, transformer-based models have gained prominence in multivariate long-term time series forecasting

Prominence, yes. But are they generally better than non-deep learning models? My understanding was that this is not the case, but I don't follow this field closely.

By @dkga - 9 months
A part of my work is literally building nowcasting and other types of prediction models in economics (inflation, GDP etc) and finance (market liquidity, etc). I haven’t yet had a chance to read the paper but overall the tone of “transformers are great for what they do but LSTM-type of models are very valuable still” completely resonates with me.
By @dlojudice - 9 months
Is this somehow related to the Google weather prediction model using AI [1]?

https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/graphcast-ai-model-for...

By @Dowwie - 9 months
marketed as a forecasting tool, so is this not applicable to event classification in time series?
By @_0ffh - 9 months
Too bad the dataset link in the paper isn't working. I hope that'll get amended.
By @greatpostman - 9 months
The best deep learning time series models are closed source inside hedge funds.
By @localfirst - 9 months
time series forecasting works best with deterministic domains. none of the published LLM/AI/Deep/Machine techniques do well in the stock market. Absolutely none. we've tried them all.
By @optimalsolver - 9 months
Reminder: If someone's time series forecasting method worked, they wouldn't be publishing it.
By @nyanpasu64 - 9 months
I misread this as XSLT :')
By @thedudeabides5 - 9 months
cant wait for someone to lose all their money trying to predict stocks with this thing
By @brcmthrowaway - 9 months
Wow, is there a way to apply this to financial trading?