July 18th, 2024

NASA cancels $450M mission to drill for ice on the Moon

NASA cancels $450-million VIPER mission to drill for Moon ice due to budget constraints and delays. Agency seeks partners for rover use. Concerns raised, but NASA remains committed to lunar exploration.

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NASA cancels $450M mission to drill for ice on the Moon

NASA has canceled its $450-million mission to drill for ice on the Moon, surprising researchers. The mission, called Volatiles Investigating Polar Exploration Rover (VIPER), was terminated due to budget constraints, rising costs, and construction delays. The agency is now looking for partners interested in using the already assembled rover for future lunar missions. The cancellation of VIPER, which aimed to scout for ice at the Moon's south pole, could impact NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services program. Despite the setback, NASA remains committed to exploring the Moon for water and ice. The decision to scrap VIPER has raised concerns among scientists, with some suggesting that NASA could have stored the rover instead of dismantling it. Meanwhile, private aerospace companies like Astrobotic are still planning lunar missions, albeit without VIPER. NASA's Polar Resources Ice Mining Experiment-1 (PRIME-1) mission is still on track to search for ice on the Moon's surface later this year.

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By @hughes - 5 months
I'm all for avoiding sunk-cost thinking, but considering that nearly half a billion was spent on this thing and its launch was barely a year away, it's hard to wrap my head around scrapping it entirely.

From the lost talent alone, this seems catastrophic - why would any of the country's best engineers want to work on ambitious NASA projects when they can be rug-pulled so close to completion?

Also, where's the accountability or at least lessons learned in this cancelation? Is there a single finding on how to reduce cost overruns for future missions?

By @omneity - 5 months
With the recently discovered caves in the moon[0] I always thought this particular mission had unfortunate timing since the caves are pretty far from the south pole. Maybe its cancelation is for the best after all.

Huge sunk cost though, it might lower confidence in future budget talks.

0: https://www.space.com/moon-cave-lunar-exploration-radar-imag...

By @ortusdux - 5 months
Previous discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40991699

I'll note that it sounds like they were relying on a 3rd party to make their descent module, but it won't be ready in time. So if they were to go ahead with the launch they wouldn't have a way to land the thing.

By @AcerbicZero - 5 months
450M just for building the robot seems a bit steep; its not like they're actually getting it to the moon for that price. How much cheaper is it than just sending 3 dudes in a tin can to just dig the holes themselves?

Edit: I guess NASA says manned missions will cost billions. Still seems like half a billion is a lot for a glorified DJI drone thats only gotta make it to the moon lol. Regardless, money spent towards any space project tends to be money well spent, so compared to all the other spending I'd like to complain about, this isn't even on the radar.

By @ungreased0675 - 5 months
I’m sure there’s more to the story, but half a billion dollars seems like a staggeringly expensive price tag for one piece of a moon mission. What does all that money go to? What’s the ROI?

We’ve been sending rovers to other planets for decades, so I assume there’s a good base of knowledge to build on. This isn’t basic research level, it seems like it should be a lot closer to production work. Satellites go up nearly every day, so I’d guess the space-spec supply chain is healthy.

Do post-mortem documents get published on programs like this? I really can’t understand it.

By @trhway - 5 months
I think with SpaceX we have the situation similar to computing - ie. whether to start a 20 year computation today on a $1B hardware or wait 5 years and complete it in 5 years then on a $100K hardware - to proceed to fund the $450M+ for the many years ahead or just wait a couple years until SpaceX gets to it and has it done for $10M in half a year.
By @dvdbloc - 5 months
When a project like this is cancelled, where does the hardware go? Not just flight hardware which I’m sure is ITAR EAR restricted but also the plethora of test and supporting hardware to go along with it?
By @zackfield - 5 months
seems like we don't have any active or planned missions to land on the moon anymore. bummer. (happy to be proven wrong) https://www.nasa.gov/missions/?terms=10828%2C10873%2C10900%2...
By @bumblebeast - 5 months
Must be the alien base on the moon