July 23rd, 2024

ESA report shows unsustainable levels of orbital debris

An ESA report warns of unsustainable orbital debris levels in LEO due to satellite increase. Efforts like the Zero Debris Charter and debris removal missions aim to address the issue for safer space travel.

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ESA report shows unsustainable levels of orbital debris

An ESA report highlights the unsustainable levels of orbital debris in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) due to the increasing number of satellites and debris. The report warns that without effective debris mitigation strategies, the future of space travel could be at risk. In 2023, a record number of satellites were launched, contributing to the congestion in LEO, particularly in the 500-600 km orbital band. ESA estimates that there are thousands of tracked debris pieces larger than 10 cm, posing risks to operational satellites. Efforts to mitigate debris, such as the Zero Debris Charter aiming for debris-neutral status by 2030, have shown progress. ESA emphasizes the need for stricter guidelines to prevent LEO from becoming impassable. Initiatives like the debris removal mission by ClearSpace SA and the increasing number of controlled rocket body reentries demonstrate steps towards addressing the issue. ESA's proactive approach includes setting debris mitigation rules for partners and investing in debris removal missions to tackle the growing orbital debris challenge.

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By @rzimmerman - 3 months
Active debris removal (harpoon satellites, magnet arms, whatever) are not a solution to this problem and are a huge waste of money. These missions answer the question "could one dock with debris and deorbit it?" To which the answer is "obviously yes, but at enormous cost" and you don't need to spend 50M euros to prove it.

The answer is exactly what governments and industry have been doing for at least two decades now. Tracking of in-orbit objects, coordinated conjunction response, and rules that require either manual or drag-induced reentry cleanup at the end of a mission. Active maneuverable satellites in orbit (like Starlink) aren't a fundamental problem. The number of objects has gone up significantly, but the big actors are coordinating and following good practices.

By @thijson - 3 months
I guess talking about Kessler Syndrome is worth while here. A chain reaction where one collision, leads to more, which leads to more. It may be a slow motion chain reaction.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome

We definitely do need a way to clean things up, it is a shared resource. Unfortunately that means it suffers from tragedy of the commons.

By @Armisael16 - 3 months
ESA’s 2024 Space Environment Report, which is what the article references: https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Space_Debris/ESA_Space_Envi...
By @WatchDog - 3 months
No one wants to de-orbit anything, because of the small chance that it hits something important on the ground, and the added fuel cost, it's easier and cheaper to just leave things in a graveyard orbit.

Maybe if starship achieves it's goals of rapid re-usability, then active debris removal could be affordable.

In the mean time it would make sense for some kind of international agreement that requires all launches plan for de-orbiting of their debris.

By @ggm - 3 months
If a brief moratorium (brief in geological time, like 25-50 years) was imposed, would this clear up? Or, does it descend into grey goo in space because at a threshold size, the debris can "float" on the exosphere?

Not a suggestion we call a halt on sat launches for 50 years. I'm asking if the remediation of time would work.

By @philipwhiuk - 3 months
> The agency has already set debris mitigation rules for its partners on ESA missions

A rule they just violated on the return-to-flight of Ariane 6.

I also hate the cover photo. That's not the actual size of the debris.

By @avmich - 3 months
Tethers Unlimited once considered an option of using tethers to move between orbits (using Earth magnetic field and solar cells for energy) and deorbiting debris.
By @ProfessorLayton - 3 months
Tangentially related: Could this be weaponized? What's stopping a malicious actor from purposely creating a lot of debris in orbital space for the purposes of knocking communications down? Is there a plan in place?
By @hn72774 - 3 months
How massive would an object need to be to attract space debris using the object's gravitational pull?

I am guessing it is way more massive than anything we can put into orbit.

By @lofaszvanitt - 3 months
Why does this whole space debris "problem" feels like a trumped up, total bs?
By @1oooqooq - 3 months
any chance it will take down Elon ISP star Link and we will have a dark LEO for astronomy again? (fingers crossed)
By @_HMCB_ - 3 months
Humans ruin everything.