My new iPhone symbolises stagnation, not innovation – a similar fate awaits AI
The author critiques the iPhone 15 as a symbol of stagnation in technology, paralleling it with AI's potential plateau, noting incremental improvements and a lack of sustained interest in both fields.
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The author reflects on the purchase of an iPhone 15, suggesting it represents stagnation rather than innovation in technology. Despite the new phone's advanced features, such as the A17 Pro chip and improved camera, the author acknowledges that their previous iPhone 11 was still functional and adequate for their needs. This sentiment extends to the broader smartphone market, where incremental improvements have replaced groundbreaking advancements since the original iPhone's launch in 2007. The article draws parallels between the smartphone evolution and the current trajectory of artificial intelligence (AI), suggesting that AI may soon reach a plateau similar to that of smartphones.
The author notes that AI has experienced significant breakthroughs, including the rise of big data and the development of large language models like ChatGPT. However, signs indicate that the AI industry may be entering a phase of commoditization, with companies releasing cheaper models amid rising operational costs. Despite widespread experimentation with AI technologies, sustained interest appears lacking, and many corporate AI initiatives have not progressed beyond pilot stages. The author questions whether AI, like the latest smartphone, may soon become just another mundane technology, losing its initial excitement and innovation as it matures and becomes commonplace.
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2 commentsTech in general is made to be depreciated. This is a conversation we love to terminate by saying that bootloaders shouldn't be open and tech shouldn't be updated by a third-party or community effort. But neither of those are written in stone, and as time goes on a lot of us actually want to keep our depreciated iPhone Minis or quirky Android devices. The only people stopping us are the OEM; when they turn off the lights, we have to leave even if we own the hardware. And that really shouldn't be the case; homebrew and third-party firmware has kept devices like the Nintendo Wii and Pebble Watch alive for many more years than they would have gotten officially.
It's time to rip off the band-aid and tell people what we want. If there is no way for us to decide for ourselves when our phone is obsolete, then our OEM will decide on our behalf. Depreciation is the proverbial "finger on the scale" that all manufacturers wield to stop anyone from using hardware that works for them already. Making it possible to unlock your bootloader gives the manufacturer a de-facto incentive to make devices that aren't merely a side-grade from your current phone.
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