August 13th, 2024

the US Navy's warship production is in its worst state in 25 years. Why

U.S. Navy warship production is at a 25-year low due to labor shortages, design changes, and evolving global threats, resulting in significant backlogs and delays in ship construction.

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the US Navy's warship production is in its worst state in 25 years. Why

The U.S. Navy's warship production is currently facing significant challenges, marking its worst state in 25 years. A combination of labor shortages, shifting defense priorities, and design changes has led to production backlogs. The Navy is struggling to hire and retain skilled workers as many experienced veterans retire, leaving a gap in expertise. Shipyards are attempting to address this by creating training programs and offering incentives to retain employees. Despite these efforts, production rates remain low, with some shipyards only able to produce one frigate per year, despite contracts for multiple vessels. The Navy's frequent changes to ship requirements and designs have also contributed to cost overruns and delays, exemplified by the Constellation warship, which is now three years behind schedule. Additionally, the evolving nature of global threats, including competition from China and Russia, complicates the Navy's planning and production efforts. The Navy acknowledges these issues and is working with industry partners to find solutions, but the path to recovery appears challenging.

- U.S. Navy warship production is at its lowest in 25 years due to labor shortages and design changes.

- Shipyards are struggling to hire and retain skilled workers as experienced veterans retire.

- Production rates are low, with some shipyards only able to produce one frigate annually.

- Frequent changes in Navy requirements have led to cost overruns and delays in ship construction.

- The evolving global threat landscape complicates Navy planning and production efforts.

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Link Icon 7 comments
By @pjot - 2 months
In Alabama the LCS was being built - it took roughly twenty years end to end to deliver. Aside from giant cost and time overruns since it was completed there’s been a struggle with learning to effectively use the ship.

All in all though seeing a tri-hull warship on your morning commute is a cool treat. It had been front and center of Austal’s hangar doors for a long time.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Mobile_(LCS-26)

By @maxglute - 2 months
I think USNI recently released report that PRC now has 630x more ship building capacity (up from 300x estimate last year), Jiangnan Shipyard itself has more capacity than _entire_ US ship building, PRC shipbuilding last year was something like ~40M dead weight tons which is around US 5 year ship building during WW2. All of which is to say US ship building is indeed in the toilets, but also PRC ship building / industrial output is _significantly_ greater than US at her most productive.

IMO which really begs the question... why is the PRC navy so small? Yeah PLAN has the most hulls, but still ~2/3 the displacement. One would expect projected gap would trend to _multiple_ times larger than USN, not just current prediction of PLAN ~400 vs USN ~300 by 2030. Why is PLAN building carriers so slowly? Why are they building lots of smaller surface combatants and about to spam a lot of subs. Why are they not urgently rushing the carrier + large surface combatant displacement game despite being able to build entire USN displacement in a few months. IMO maybe they don't think surface combatants are going to survive in a shooting war either. Maybe US planners knows this to, but can't admit it publically, but directing aquisitions behind the scenes accordingly. Meanwhile you're going to get lots of navy folks who likes their big ships advocate for building big ships, which granted, having at least semi competent shipyards is real need to sustain current USN global posture even if it's not appropriate for a future peer war.

By @panick21_ - 2 months
I recommend this podcast with people from congress on the topic:

https://warontherocks.com/2024/03/win-wind-how-a-bipartisan-...

By @kylehotchkiss - 2 months
I realize the answer to this is probably very obvious to others but hope they can explain it here: why is the US not nationalizing warship production? And more ports? The infra for air cargo (airports, atc) is largely government owned, why can't water cargo infra be?
By @ForOldHack - 2 months
lower-cost warships. They have lost the ability to build horse carriages too, but then they are both kind of useless, and think of the money they save? They have saved a hell of a lot of money complaining while doing nothing.
By @ForOldHack - 2 months
lower-cost warships.
By @lotsofpulp - 2 months
tl:dr insufficient pay to quality of life at work ratio to attract sufficient workers of sufficient quality.

Expect the same article about nearly everything as the proportion of younger people decreases.