NASA's Starliner decision was the right one, but it's a crushing blow for Boeing
NASA has halted Boeing's Starliner crewed flight due to safety issues, raising doubts about future missions. Boeing faces significant delays, technical problems, and has incurred $1.6 billion in charges.
Read original articleNASA's recent decision to not allow Boeing's Starliner spacecraft to conduct its first Crew Flight Test with astronauts marks a significant setback for Boeing, which has invested heavily in the program. Initially awarded a $4.2 billion contract to develop Starliner, Boeing has faced multiple technical issues, including thruster failures and helium leaks, leading to concerns about the spacecraft's safety. As a result, NASA opted to return astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams to Earth aboard a SpaceX Crew Dragon instead. This decision raises doubts about Boeing's ability to complete all six planned Starliner missions before the International Space Station (ISS) retires in 2030. Currently, NASA has only committed to three operational flights with Boeing, and the timeline for future missions is uncertain, with the next potential crewed flight not expected until at least 2026. Boeing has already incurred $1.6 billion in charges due to delays and will need to address the identified propulsion system issues. The contrasting assessments of safety between NASA and Boeing highlight ongoing challenges in the program, as both organizations must navigate the complexities of ensuring crew safety while managing technical failures.
- NASA decided against using Boeing's Starliner for its first crewed flight due to safety concerns.
- Boeing has faced significant technical issues, including thruster failures and helium leaks.
- The timeline for future Starliner missions is uncertain, with potential delays until 2026.
- NASA has only committed to three operational flights with Boeing, raising doubts about completing all planned missions.
- Boeing has incurred $1.6 billion in charges related to delays and cost overruns in the Starliner program.
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Equally, perhaps Boeing knows that oddly they have utility as a runner up, and are unmotivated to do better.
Interesting game theoretic problem.
This is deeply embarrassing for Boeing. Their internal woes have bubbled to the surface and have started to affect planning, budgeting and delivery. This was for something designed to carry humans too. How much will Boeing have to do to repair their reputation and restore confidence in Starliner specifically but also their commercial spaceflight divisions in general?
Compare this to SpaceX where the Falcon 9's recent incident broke a streak of over 400 successful launches. Falcon 9 is now the most successful and reliable launch platform and its also one of the cheapest.
The Falcon 9 is really the Boeing 747 of space at this point.
SpaceX has its own issues with delivering on time. Crew Dragon was late. Starship is behind schedule and (IIRC) over cost. But these issues just pale into comparison to Boeing's issues.
Its my understanding that the actual "crushing blow" for Boeing was the merger with McDonnell-Douglas[1] in 1997, and the profit über alles management style[2] that they were infected with as a result.[3]
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McDonnell_Douglas
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_capitalism
[3] https://indi.ca/the-boeing-737-max-and-the-crash-of-capitali...
[4] https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2023/03/01/the-last-supper-how-...
[5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Last_Supper_(Defense_industry)
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