September 6th, 2024

Did Sandia use a thermonuclear secondary in a product logo?

Alex Wellerstein analyzed a 2007 graphic from Sandia National Laboratories resembling a thermonuclear weapon, raising concerns about classification oversight and its appropriateness in public materials for the SIERRA software framework.

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Did Sandia use a thermonuclear secondary in a product logo?

In a recent analysis, Alex Wellerstein examined a graphic from a 2007 Sandia National Laboratories presentation that appears to depict a thermonuclear weapon design. The image, part of a promotional slide for the SIERRA software framework, shows a cutaway view resembling a nuclear warhead, which has raised questions about its appropriateness for public release. Wellerstein noted that this graphic has appeared in multiple presentations and is used as a logo for the software, suggesting a potential oversight in classification protocols. The SIERRA framework is designed for modeling various materials and safety issues related to nuclear weapons, but the inclusion of what looks like a thermonuclear secondary in a public document is unusual, given the strict guidelines surrounding the depiction of nuclear weapon designs. Wellerstein speculated on several possibilities for this occurrence, including accidental release, misclassification, or even the use of an unclassified shape that inadvertently resembles a weapon. He emphasized that while the graphic may not be intended to represent classified information, its resemblance to actual weapon components raises concerns about the implications of such representations in public forums.

- A graphic from Sandia National Laboratories resembles a thermonuclear weapon design.

- The image is part of the SIERRA software framework's promotional materials.

- Its public appearance raises questions about classification and oversight.

- The SIERRA framework focuses on modeling materials and safety issues in nuclear weapons.

- Speculations include accidental release or the use of an unclassified shape.

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AI: What people are saying
The discussion surrounding the graphic from Sandia National Laboratories raises several key points of concern and speculation.
  • Many commenters question the legitimacy and purpose of the graphic, suggesting it may be a simplified or notional design rather than an accurate representation of a thermonuclear weapon.
  • There is speculation about the potential for this graphic to be a security oversight, with some suggesting it could be an inside joke or a harmless mistake.
  • Several users highlight the importance of operational security (opsec) and the risks associated with sharing sensitive information, even inadvertently.
  • Commenters discuss the implications of adversaries potentially gaining insights from the graphic, raising concerns about national security.
  • Some suggest that the graphic may serve as a test object for simulations rather than a true representation of a weapon, indicating a possible benign intent behind its creation.
Link Icon 43 comments
By @gnfargbl - 8 months
What is it that the author thinks is particularly unusual about this image? Pretty much every schematic of a Teller-Ulam type weapon -- a schematic which you will find in every introductory Nuclear Physics textbook -- shows a large cylinder with a spherical fission device at the top and a cylindrical fusion device at the bottom, plus some FOGBANK-type material of unconfirmed purpose. This image looks exactly like those schematics except that someone has imagined some little channels which look like they're intended to move energy from the primary to the secondary. Without detailed simulation and testing, a prospective weapons designer has no way of knowing whether those channels are representative of a real weapon, or just a superficially plausible hallucination.

Overall this looks like someone asked a physics undergraduate to spend an hour imagining roughly how the well-known schematic might be fitted inside a real warhead case. It probably is exactly that. I can't imagine that showing it to the North Koreans advanced their nuclear programme by any more than fifteen minutes.

By @sandworm101 - 8 months
No. That is not a nuke. It is a mass simulator, specifically the electronic model of a mass simulator for a warhead. The various colors represent density of material. This would be used during aerodynamic simulations. That is why it is behind the graph about processors. This also explains the simple geometry as keeping things simple reduces the number of calculations.

(Note that nuke warheads fall nose-first, the opposite of space capsules. So the dense material is packed in the nose, with the lighter stuff at the back.)

The nearby disk looks like a represention of airflow around a falling warhead. They, like apollo, likely had an offset center of gravity that allowed them to stear by rotation, creating the asymetrical airflow shown on the disk. Falling in a spiral also probably frustrates interception. So that whole corner of the image is advertising Sandia's ability to do aerodynamic simulations.

By @jiggawatts - 8 months
Reminds me of another design secret that leaked out because someone published a paper titled something like "X-ray crystallography of Lithium Deuteride under high pressure."

People very quickly figured out that this was the source of the D-T fuel in fusion part of the bomb instead of cryogenic D-T liquid. Lithium Deuteride is nasty stuff, but it's a storable solid. When bombarded with neutrons from the fission primary, the Lithium splits and forms tritium, which then combines with the deuterium that was the other half of the crystal.

The reason the usage was obvious (from the title alone!) is that very few chemists would care about any property of Lithium Hydride, which is dangerous to handle and has few practical uses. Lithium Deuteride is unheard of in analytical chemistry, and its crystallography under high pressure is totally uninteresting to anyone... except physicists working on atomic weapons.

By @mjevans - 8 months
That thing is supposed to be a logo?

I'm reminded of CGP Gray's videos about flags. https://www.youtube.com/user/cgpgrey/videos Like this one https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4w6808wJcU About US state flags

By @simplicio - 8 months
I've worked on (unrelated to nuclear stuff) computer simulation projects for the Navy where they had standard, notional models of the battleship which had the same sort of general properties you'd expect a battleship to have, but wasn't based on the design of any real battleship, so they could share them with researchers to develop their codes on without having to worry about revealing classified details.

Wonder if this isn't something similar, if the DoE has some sort of "standardized notional warhead" design they can use to give to outside researchers without having to give every post-doc and grad-student a security clearance.

By @bee_rider - 8 months
> This is the kind of thing that I think people assume the government labs might do, but in my experience, is pretty unusual and pretty unlikely. In general, you have to remember that the national laboratories are pretty, well, boring, when it comes to classified information. They want to be boring in this respect. They are not doing cloak-and-dagger stuff on the regular. They’re scientists and engineers for the most part. These are not James Bond-wannabes.

The Sandia folks may be extra special, it is a pretty famous place. But engineers are people first of course, so lots of variation. And also, some are super serious of course, but there are hacker tendencies, playful tendencies. I bet if some intelligence agency folks wanted to, they could find some engineers out there who’d be receptive to this sort of thing.

If it is a fake, known-stupid design, including it would be a funny prank that wastes the time of people that might want to nuke us, right?

By @hbossy - 8 months
I bet it's an inside joke, like Lenna.jpeg. Some outdated / test / dead-end, or otherwise harmless project put there as a wink to everyone involved in the industry. Maybe it's something an intern ruined on his first day and made entire lab work on for three weeks without realizing?
By @splonk - 8 months
The author is u/restricteddata on Reddit. This appears to be the thread that inspired this post: https://www.reddit.com/r/nuclearweapons/comments/1f85zpi/mk4...
By @buran77 - 8 months
I see a few commenters think the big chart/diagram in the first picture is the one being discussed. It is not, it's the rightmost slice ("Salinas") of that infographic which shows something like a warhead. It's shown blown up (pun intended) in the second picture of the article.
By @kingkongjaffa - 8 months
Basically 0 CAD models you see with color coding and a mesh are actually accurate.

In order to mesh the geometry for finite element analysis, the geometry virtually always needs to be defeatured.

So the cross sectional CAD model here is a nice curiosity but basically useless for any reverse engineering purposes which is the key reason this stuff is kept secret.

By @BWStearns - 8 months
Tangentially: I wonder if the checker badge is a visual pun on the Arms and Influence cover.

https://www.amazon.com/Arms-Influence-Preface-Afterword-Lect...

By @closewith - 8 months
For everyone complaining that it's an infographic, not a logo, that's addressed in the article:

> It’s literally the logo they use for this particular software package.

Which seems to refer to the image of the re-entry vehicle in isolation from the infographic where the author originally found it.

By @shahzaibmushtaq - 8 months
In the era of CDs/DVDs and according to year 2007 perspective, these types of infographic logos were quite common.

Other than that, I'm not so sure about the particular design pointed out by the author.

By @smiley1437 - 8 months
Any chance it's a legitimate screw up but they don't want to cause any Streisand effect?
By @QuadmasterXLII - 8 months
Some people are confused why this could be a big deal. An analogy: on GitHub, if you echo a GitHub access token in an action’s log, it will be automatically censored. This post would be like noticing that someone’s action step is just named ghp_1ae27h… and that the name isn’t censored, and speculating on what that says about the token-censorship algorithm
By @HelloNurse - 8 months
This thing could be a test object that doesn't work as an actual nuclear warhead but is similar enough to validate the discussed software: real-world crash tests match software simulations, and being accurate at simulating the dummy is a guarantee of being accurate at simulating classified weapon designs.
By @AnimalMuppet - 8 months
Heh. Ask my mother about the time that Sandia dropped an atomic bomb casing in the streets of Albuquerque.

IIRC the story, this was still during WWII. They were testing the flight characteristics of the bomb casing. It did not contain a core. But it was still extremely classified. They had the test casing in the back of a truck, taking it from Sandia to Kirtland AFB. The truck got in an accident, the tailgate fell open, and the bomb casing fell out and went rolling around in the street.

By @avar - 8 months
Let's assume the schematic depicts a genuine weapon, and that this was a massive redaction screw-up.

I think the author is omitting the most likely explanation for why it wasn't redacted in future publications.

It took from 2007 to 2024 for someone (him) to publicly notice this.

If your job was to censor documents coming out of Sandia National Laboratories, and you screwed up this massively, what's your incentive to call attention to your screw-up?

Better to just coast along, by the time you retire or move on to another job your ass is off the firing line.

Ditto (but less so) if this was your co-worker or team mate, after all North Korea, Iran etc. already have access to the published document.

What could anyone in your organization possibly gain from the ensuing shitstorm of admitting something like that?

Has this person worked, well, pretty much anywhere, where people have a stronger incentive to cover their own ass and keep out of trouble than not?

Or, that internal report and subsequent shitstorm did happen, but what do you do at that point? Make a big public fuss about it, and confirm to state actors that you accidentally published a genuine weapons design?

No, you just keep cropping that picture a bit more, eventually phase it out, and hope it's forgotten. Maybe they'll just think it's a detailed mockup of a test article. If it wasn't for that meddling blogger...

Edit: Also, I bet there's nobody involved in the day-to-day of redacting documents that's aware of what an actual weapons design looks like. That probably happens at another level of redaction.

So once something like this slips by it's just glazed over as "ah, that's a bit detailed? But I guess it was approved already, as it's already published? Moving on.".

Whereas a censor would have to know what an actual thermonuclear device looks like to think "Holy crap! Who the hell approved this?!". And even then they and the organization still need the incentive to raise a fuss about it.

By @numpad0 - 8 months
Isn't one of best ways to verify this is to computationally "detonate" a similar model? If it's real, it should compress nuclear part, if it's not, it behaves like a HEAT warhead or whatever it is based on, or is that not the case?
By @joegibbs - 8 months
Say if an adversary with a small nuclear program that hasn’t yet achieved a weapon got a hold of this, what kind of impact would that make?
By @lupusreal - 8 months
Probably the guy who produced that part of the graphic was not told what a thermonuclear warhead actually looks like, because he didn't need to know, so he just whipped up his own idea of it from speculative public images. Knowing that the graphic came from somebody who didn't actually know anything, the censors didn't see the need to worry about it.
By @niemandhier - 8 months
Putting a weapon of mass destruction in a logo is tasteless. It’s like advertising with cans of mustard gas.
By @ggm - 8 months
The entire half round with an inner core is surely half an explosively compressed primary. And, it's not a "logo" it's an infographic.
By @karaterobot - 8 months
One thing he doesn't consider: Perhaps if they do not call it a nuclear warhead, or place it in the context of a larger drawing that tells you it's a warhead, having a sort of blobby, colorful model shape is considered plausibly nonsensical enough that it doesn't matter to the censors.
By @declan_roberts - 8 months
Powerpoint slides are such a hilarious opsec risk.

When @Snowden blew the whistle on the NSA spying operation, all he did was download everybody's powerpoint presentations and send them to @andygreenwald.

By @tripzilch - 7 months
You can hide your designs but we won't forget that your military threw thermonuclear weapons on civilian targets.
By @sandos - 8 months
Most likely is that it was deemed simplified enough not be an issue?
By @tabtab - 8 months
That would have made a good Silicon Valley plot: they discover they accidentally put a trade secret in their logo, and have to jump through hoops to collect, hide, and delete the bad version without making competitors curious about their effort.
By @dwighttk - 8 months
>That’s where I’ve ended up…

Where did he end up? Intentional misinformation? It was definitely not clear but that was the last one he listed…

By @virgulino - 8 months
For anyone interested in the basics of nuclear weapons, I highly recommend the "Nuclear 101: How Nuclear Bombs Work" lectures by Matthew Bunn, a man heavily involved in nuclear arms control.

His lectures are always highly entertaining, a real pleasure to watch.

This is a clip from his lecture explaining the basics of thermonuclear warheads:

https://youtu.be/YMuRpx4T2Rw

And the full “Nuclear 101” lecture, in two parts:

https://youtu.be/zVhQOhxb1Mc

https://youtu.be/MnW7DxsJth0

By @felipelemos - 8 months
> at someone had posted on Reddit late last night (you know, as one does, instead of sleeping)

After a couple of decades of internet I was expecting people to realize other timezones exists.

By @mxfh - 8 months
Why someone is calling a chart/diagram a logo is the bigger mystery here. Mockups of things exist.
By @pantulis - 8 months
And why wouldn't they? As wikipedia states, SNL's mission includes "roughly 70 areas of activity, including nuclear deterrence, arms control, nonproliferation, hazardous waste disposal, and climate change."