Maybe Bluesky Has "Won"
Bluesky is attracting users from X but debates its decentralization. It features complex infrastructure, unique functionalities, and faces financial sustainability challenges, while user engagement varies across networks.
Read original articleBluesky is experiencing an influx of users leaving X, but its current status as a decentralized platform is debated. The platform operates on the AT Protocol, which includes Personal Data Servers (PDSs), Relays, and App Views. Users can host their own PDSs, allowing them to control their data, but this requires technical knowledge and is not fully decentralized yet. Relays aggregate data from PDSs, but the current infrastructure is costly and complex. Bluesky's data is open, allowing easy export, but the platform's financial sustainability is uncertain, as it relies on limited revenue sources. While Bluesky offers features like domain-based usernames and customizable feeds, it lacks certain functionalities like post editing. The platform's appeal varies among users, with some finding more engagement than on other networks. The future of social media remains unpredictable, but Bluesky's growth suggests it may become a significant player in the space.
- Bluesky is gaining users from X but is not fully decentralized yet.
- The platform's infrastructure is complex and costly to maintain.
- Bluesky offers unique features like domain-based usernames and customizable feeds.
- Financial sustainability is a concern, with limited revenue sources.
- User engagement varies across different social networks, indicating diverse user experiences.
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The Dawn of Decentralized Social Media
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Bluesky has gained over 2.6 million users, mainly from Brazil, offering customizable feeds, an open ecosystem for developers, and a focus on safety and combating misinformation, especially during elections.
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The article highlights the rise of decentralized social media platforms like Bluesky and Mastodon, emphasizing their potential to coexist and reshape the future of user-driven social media.
- Many users find Bluesky to be a refreshing alternative to X, citing a more positive atmosphere and less political toxicity.
- Concerns about Bluesky's decentralization and financial sustainability are prevalent, with some users skeptical about its long-term viability.
- Users express mixed feelings about the user engagement and content diversity on Bluesky, with some noting it feels like an echo chamber.
- There is a debate over the effectiveness of Bluesky's features compared to X, particularly regarding content discovery and user experience.
- Some users emphasize the importance of maintaining diverse viewpoints and caution against creating isolated communities.
Personally I think politics are terrible on microblogging platforms for the reason that you can't say very much in 140 characters or even 1400 characters.
A common kind of profile on that kind of platform is: "There are good people and bad people and I'm one of the good people"
It is very easy to other people and share memes that build group cohesion while driving other people away. Really making progress requires in politics a lot of "I agree with you about 90% but there is 10% that I don't" or "Well, I negotiated something in the backroom that you'd really hate but headed off a situation you would have thought was catastrophic but you won't appreciate that I did it so you and I are both better off if I don't tell you" and other sorts of nuance, you don't want to see how the sausage is made, etc.
To stand Mastodon (where you would have thought fascists were taking over the world a year ago if you believed what you read) I have to have about 20 or so block rules.
I see some people with the same kind of profiles on Bluesky but see a lot less othering in my feed because the "Discover" feed on Bluesky filters out a lot of angry content. My rough estimate is that it removes about 75% of the divisive political junk. That
(1) Immediately improves my feed, but also
(2) Reduces the amount of re-posted angry political content (it's like adding some boron to the coolant in a nuclear reactor) and
(3) Since angry political memes don't work anymore people find a different game to play
My guess is the X-odus folks are less agreeable than average for the same reason why people who "left California" to go to Colorado or someplace else are less agreeable. Those who go are less agreeable than those who stay. On the other hand, a certain amount of suppression of negativity could stop it from spreading and might not even be noticed as "censorship".
On the other hand Twitter still feels like where things are actually happening but more and more feels like they are about to start terminating anyone with eyeglasses.
I was there when the Digg exodus happened, it doesn't feel like that. It's something else. It feels like Twitter becoming a monoculture and others are having their monoculture somewhere else because Bluesky also doesn't feel diverse to me - more like the opposite of Twitter.
How to migrate from X to Bluesky without losing your followers - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42147430 - Nov 2024 (42 comments)
1M people have joined Bluesky in the last day - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42144340 - Nov 2024 (109 comments)
Ask HN: Bluesky is #1 in the U.S. App Store. Is this a first for open source? - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42129768 - Nov 2024 (44 comments)
Ask HN: Will Bluesky become more popular than Twitter? - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42129171 - Nov 2024 (13 comments)
Visualizing 13M Bluesky users - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42118180 - Nov 2024 (236 comments)
Bluesky adds 700k new users in a week - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42112432 - Nov 2024 (168 comments)
How to self-host all of Bluesky except the AppView (for now) - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42086596 - Nov 2024 (79 comments)
Bluesky Is Not Decentralized - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41952994 - Oct 2024 (194 comments)
There are lots more...
This isn't quite accurate. You only need the MST blocks in the merkle path(s) back to the root, for the subset of records that you care about. For a single record, that's O(logn) blocks on average, where n is the total number of records in the repo. For a full checkout, the MST block count is ~33% of the number records in the repo, on average.
(MST = Merkle Search Tree, which is a special type of merkle tree, distinct from the one used by git - https://inria.hal.science/hal-02303490/document )
> Also, it would be great to edit posts! I believe this is tricky because of the Merkle tree structure mentioned above
It's not so tricky at the MST level, and it already happens there when you edit your bio for example. What is tricky (relatively) is figuring out how to represent post edits at the UI/UX level.
For context, I'm working on my own PDS implementation in Python, with corresponding library for working with the MST (both fairly WIP):
But, this:
> Radically open
> I think some might be surprised to learn how open Bluesky is. It’s trivially easy to grab an export of any user’s data. It’s also a core assumption of the service that all the data (aside from out-of-protocol stuff like DMs) is completely open.
I'm still skeptical of Bluesky having "won" until the average user is completely aware of things like this. I fully expect that there will be some drama about this openness at some point in the future.
When this happens, we'll see if people go back to Twitter again (how many times has it been already?); or if they embrace this new social network where your art and posts can be scraped waaaaaay more easily than in Twitter, so they're probably more likely to be used for AI training anyway.
Until conversations about these topics happen between non-tech users, I'm mostly just watching how the situation evolves.
Bluesky feels like Twitter used to and it’s shockingly refreshing to hear about industry news and friendly updates rather than some “pick-up artist” explaining how women are too privileged these days.
There's two feeds: for you (the algo) and following. following is the traditional only people you know feed.
If you're having trouble with the people on X you might need to reconsider yourself. Why are you not open to many viewpoints? Diversity of thought and people should be welcome and if you hope to change minds, you do need to be able to interact with those people to do so.
I did theater when I was younger, and I think a lot of my 'open' friends weren't open per-say they were just weird and like being in the weird group more than being truly open.
I think a small, somewhat homogeneous community is very attractive. You get a high ratio of interesting posts and very little toxic behavior.
The problem is those communities never scale. Maybe they can't scale. Technology won't solve this problem (because it is not a technology problem). Moderation also won't solve the problem (IMHO) because it's either too expensive at scale, or it just imposes the homogeneous viewpoint of a subset of the community.
Maybe the balkanization of social media is the best we can hope for.
Bluesky has now 15 million total users (how many active?)
Mastodon monthly active usage has dropped below 1 million.
A lot of people made the mistake of treating Twitter like a commons and have been burned. My local police force posts all notices about traffic, missing people, foiled crimes, etc., on Twitter out of inertia. That is wholly inappropriate, and wasn't appropriate even when before it become some brain-worm infected oligarch's rhetoric megaphone. The same goes for many organizations, politicians, and so on. It was never the right choice. And the solution to one bad choice isn't to move to the same mistake on some other service. These people and orgs need absolute and complete ownership over their own platform.
Mastodon / ActivityPub seems like it might scratch that itch, but what a bloated sloppy mess that is. The right idea, with the wrong implementation.
Honestly would prefer all these people and places just published RSS feeds.
Here the human condition can flourish in a more localized way, with more participation (less lurking). No more winner takes all.
If "owning" my data means I need to spend time learning a new format and setting up a way to publish that format on a domain I own, and then maintain it into the infinite future, the odds I'm gong to bother are very low.
The Linux chat rooms are on Matrix because highly ideological people are active in Linux communities, but everyone else just uses Discord. And even Matrix has a webapp that makes it almost as easy as Discord.
Putting aside the issues with who owns twitter and some of their recent policy shifts about content, I still have relatively sanitized feeds where I mostly only see friends' content. I'm still making new friends from Japan on it through our shared hobbies. Most of the sports news I follow is still there.
Nothing materially has changed about how I use the platform.
Bluesky is still pretty empty. Maybe some "nodes" of it are getting busier as people trickle out of twitter but I'm not sure it matters much until theres more saturation of many more things.
> I’ll also add that the reason I’m a big fan of a ActivityPub solution like Mastodon is that it’s quite inexpensive to run your own complete stack unless you’re extremely famous. Hosting a Mastodon instance is a one-step process, and you then control everything. To get the same experience with atproto, you’ll need to spend hundreds or thousands of dollars a month, and even then you still don’t control everything as of today.
When you run a mastadon instance you're not mirroring the entire network, so its a bad comparison. I'm quite interested to find whether there will be niche relays that only index posts from certain pds (or provide a kind of community-chat discord competitor by being one server that hosts the PDSs of the community, and also provides the relay and appview for that community)
This is Twitter all over again, including risk of a hostile takeover. I don't think they're stupid enough to just let the allegedly-decentralized protocol to take away their control when billions are at stake. They will keep users captive if they have to.
So if you take everybody at their word and assume the money doesn't run out, this is sort of the opposite approach to federation. Build out a solid main instance and get federation working "for real" later.
But has it won? I guess that remains to be seen. It entirely depends on the users who are willing to move there from x.
Bluesky should actively increase the difficulty of onboarding people onto the platform to weed out or reduce the population. Vitriole need a critical mass before it overtakes the entire discussion.
Is it still too early? Time will tell.
"if you want to look up a DID:PLC, you need to query the Bluesky servers. This is important because every user is identified by a DID:PLC, and all interactions need to reference them."
which is not strictly true.
almost every user is identified by a DID:PLC but DID:WEB is also supported. DID:WEB is not mentioned in the article at all
I think this is important because it means that users can opt into being their own source of truth for their "identity" in the ATPROTO system
FWIW I just exited from twitter - no value.
Very odd.
So far I see good sides of both Threads and Blue Sky. Threads has a lot more users, but I see more 'subject matter expert' kinds of people on Blue Sky as well as smaller more intimate communities. But we'll see what happens if that dynamic attracts more people and it stops being quite so cozy.
There's probably a good chunk of people who just drop Twitter without picking up another social media in replacement.
https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/trump-and-section-230-what-know
We can assume that Twitter was a vocal opponent to the repeal at the time and that they have now become somewhat more in favour if it means knocking out their competition whilst they enjoy special protection.
All it would take is some catalytic content to kick things off and a compliant state judiciary to get the ball rolling.
Bluesky's Terms Of Service explicitly state that they are not liable for the impacts of their user's content. They say they reserve the right to delete content or accounts at any time at their discretion. And then there's this:
Indemnity: Summary: If someone brings a legal claim against us based on your actions on Bluesky Social, you are responsible for our defense in, and the consequences of, that claim.
It all looks bulletproof on the surface but I just don't know if it will survive under Trump/Musk.
I get the sense that it's just for trying to be witty. The replies are hard to follow for a reason. They aren't the point. It's really a series of unrelated posts you have to keep reading to follow any kind of "zeitgeist". It's like they thought of a good user interface for conversations and did the opposite of that.
This makes me super happy I was on that train early and got the "iain.bsky.social" handle.
Went to GopherconAU last week and one of the organizers very proudly announced that you should "skeet" with their hashtag like the word didn't have another completely inappropriate connotation. I really can't take this sort of internet circlejerk seriously when I have a mortgage to pay and a family to look after.
How does censorship work?
The golden age of social is over and it's just a horror show now. Look what it did.
I’ll just put stuff on my personal website.
That being said, the change handle to domain process is quite slick with very smooth DNS record based transfer done in a minute.
I'm fine with people backing the wrong horse (again), and I don't have an ounce of FOMO. It's upsetting in a general sense that people will regularly behave in a manner against their own self-interest. But when Bluesky is fully enshittified in a few years and people are wondering what in the hell just happened, the Fediverse will be here waiting to embrace them with open arms.
I think a general problem with the current political landscape right now is that people literally cannot tolerate reading something they disagree with, because they convinced themselves that the other side is so morally flawed, they can just immediately write them off without further consideration.
But irrespective of that, how are you supposed to understand what is going on if you only read content by people who think the same way you do?
For readonly nodes they should be. Otherwise we could see tons of adoptions by bloggers, with some simple Github/Cloudflare Pages setup.
Bluesky is a breath of fresh air.
Twitter / X, for political reasons, allowed extremely toxic behavior while at the same time disempowered communities from moderating themselves. If you force each individual user to manually block every troll, bot, or disgusting person it's a losing battle and low quality speech will overwhelm conversations. X folks know that but did it anyways.
It's also becoming more and more clear that we need a relatively neutral medium for free speech. Musk claimed to be building that on X but then did exactly the opposite. It's very hard to trust the algorithm isn't being manipulated in one way or another.
On BlueSky it's incredible how much value is already being produced by connecting intelligent and creative folks as compared to what Twitter became.
A few screens grabs for proof: https://imgur.com/a/ra8P81G
Please for the love of god someone make a social network that has okay discovery features without political content.
I follow 3 people who post about ML papers. Not sure why blue sky shows me posts from Don Lemon and someone called @CallToActivism
Man, really? Domains tend to be around that much for a year.
I guess it's cheap if you're doing this for marketing purposes, but given that this was marketed towards "developers", I thought there'd be more homespun method to get this up.
But aside from that, I don't quite understand the counterargument of Bluesky not being federated/decentralized for custom domains outside of "Bluesky handles DM 's" (to paraphrase). I'm sure most users will more or less choose the centralized approach of Bluesky handling everything, but the fact that you can decentralize off is very valuable (even if it's a different service than ActivityPub)
>The whole Twitter mess has taught me not to attach myself too closely with these things anymore. I hung on far too long to Twitter while it made me feel terrible. My goal going forward is to post more to my own site and aggregate to any social channel I currently care about.
indeed. Don't put your eggs all in someone else's basket. If you're selling, always try to get people on an email list (the only popular standard of federation as of now) so when that basket is taken that your devout followers can keep in touch. Ideally this decentralization of Bluesky (if you take the time/money to set it up) should let you take most of your ball home, but it may not be as easy to just "move it somewhere else". Mastodon's ideals vs. reality certainly show this.
Particularly if you are using it as a tool to advertise your company, channel, stream, etc.
I would love for this to not be true this time. But I am not holding my breath.
Maybe instead of having yet another echo chamber of short form content, we should embrace long form, well written content with wide range of opinions.
>If Bluesky comes out as a “winner” and more posting happens there, I think I’m generally fine with that. At least for now.
If that's what the match between microblogging services is about, I wager Bluesky has no chance whatsoever to come out the winner. It sounds like wishful thinking to me. Mere delusion.
If i read some interesting article that turns out to just be a reblogging of an interesting post on a service, the original embedded article is inevitably from xitter, which if i want to read more generally i can't. Either technical or personal issues usually prevent me from being able to read the original source and additional related tweets.
Now lets say for the sake of argument that a person's speech is just trolling hateful shit. Contributing literally nothing. I argue that quite often you even want to allow this kind of speech because when almost always when you have 'content moderation' it becomes over-moderation. It's a 'slippery slope' where people are unable to keep their own biases out of moderation. Which brings me back to Bluesky. A deranged, leftist hellscape, designed to enforce the largest possible book of unwritten woke social regulations across the site. Literally stacking the deck against Wrong Think. Or an orwellian nightmare. This is what happens to the internet when you let fucktards moderate it.
Edit: ty for the downvote soyboy. On downvote sites like this if someone doesn't like your post they downvote it and it becomes a popularity competition even if you're right (which is what you're signalling is a good idea btw.) Bluesky is exactly the same. As is reddit. As is every top 100 website at the moment.
People act like Elon is the devil while using Gmail and googling things. Lol.
So, how does moving to a platform with the explicit aim of being decentralised solve this? Even Elon Twitter has more oversight than a decentralised platform with zero control.
But Bluesky is already censoring viewpoints that the collective don't want to see promoted, so its really not much better than X.
The issue is, whether or not a collective, reactive crowd, is really the ultimate form of human discourse. I happen to think not, but its sure interesting to see the dynamics of humans flowing from one echo chamber to another ..
If you are a normal person and made the right conclusion that Trump / Elon are byproducts of forcefed radical leftist policies you'd be better to steer clear from this platform. X is lightweight compared to what Bluesky is about to become.
Many people are comparing X and Bluesky, but I think this is a mistake. The two platforms shouldn't even be mentioned in the same sentence. These are two drastically different platforms. X is a real-time news app, currently holding the #1 spot in the News category on the App Store (e.g., The New York Times is #8). Bluesky, on the other hand, is a social network and the #1 app in the Social Networking category. These are fundamentally different categories, so let’s stop treating them as rivals - they’re solving different problems for different audiences.
I'm not on Twitter and used to be on Mastodon so the idea of Bluesky per se sounds interesting. But so far it looks like a forced, desperate attempt by a very political group of people. And that's the opposite of what people like me would like to spend time on.
Related
The Dawn of Decentralized Social Media
Bluesky, a decentralized social media platform, launched publicly on February 6, 2024, experiencing significant user growth, original content creation, and effective moderation against suspicious accounts and low toxicity levels.
Bem Vindos ao Bluesky (Over 2M Brazilians join Bsky in a week)
Bluesky has gained over 2.6 million users, mainly from Brazil, offering customizable feeds, an open ecosystem for developers, and a focus on safety and combating misinformation, especially during elections.
With Bluesky, the social media echo chamber is back in vogue
Bluesky is gaining traction as users leave X, particularly progressives in the UK. However, it faces criticism for fostering echo chambers, raising concerns about the viability of inclusive digital discourse.
Bluesky capitalizes on X woes with funding and user growth
Bluesky, a decentralized social network, has grown to over 13 million users since February 2024, supported by $15 million in funding, and plans a subscription model while ensuring free basic services.
Bluesky, the Fediverse, and the future of social media
The article highlights the rise of decentralized social media platforms like Bluesky and Mastodon, emphasizing their potential to coexist and reshape the future of user-driven social media.