November 22nd, 2024

Russian ballistic missile attack on Ukraine portends new era of warfare

Russia's ballistic missile attack on Dnipro, using the Oreshnik IRBM, marks a significant escalation in the conflict, raising nuclear concerns and prompting U.S. warnings against further escalation.

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Russian ballistic missile attack on Ukraine portends new era of warfare

Russia's recent ballistic missile attack on Ukraine marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict, as it is the first combat use of an intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) since the Cold War. President Vladimir Putin announced a shift in Russia's nuclear policy prior to the attack, which targeted the city of Dnipro using the newly developed Oreshnik missile. This missile is capable of carrying multiple warheads and was launched from a base in Russia, approximately 800 kilometers away. The attack, which struck an industrial facility, was characterized by the use of conventional munitions, but the missile's design allows for potential nuclear capabilities. The Pentagon confirmed the missile's experimental status and noted that Russia had briefly informed the U.S. of the planned strike. Putin claimed that Western air defenses would be ineffective against the Oreshnik missile, which can reach speeds of up to Mach 10. He also warned that the conflict could escalate to a global scale, threatening retaliation against Western nations supporting Ukraine. The situation remains tense, with significant casualties reported on both sides and ongoing military operations. The U.S. has expressed concern over the potential for further escalation and emphasized the need to avoid a wider regional conflict.

- Russia's attack on Dnipro utilized the Oreshnik IRBM, marking a first in combat use.

- The missile can potentially carry nuclear warheads, raising concerns about its implications.

- Putin's remarks suggest a willingness to escalate the conflict to a global level.

- The U.S. has warned against further escalation and emphasized the need for diplomatic solutions.

- Significant casualties have been reported, with the war continuing to impact civilians severely.

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By @burnt-resistor - 5 months
While 'Oreshnik' variant of RS-26 Rubezh can deliver MIRV conventional, kinetic, and nuclear payloads at mach 25 (5 miles a second), IRBMs are too expensive to use. This one was a test and a signal of nuclear saber rattling. There will be no tactical nuclear weapon use or further use of IRBMs.

Also note that RAF provided USSTRATCOM notice shortly before the strike to prevent nuclear war as is the international custom for high trajectory space and missile launches. As a result, the US moved B-61 mod 13 dial-a-yield 340kt warheads to Łask Air Base Poland for the increased readiness of potential delivery by new Polish F-35A fighters and upped the alert level of Ohio-class ballistic missile submarines.

Putin could use nukes once, but then he can never live or move above ground ever again, and BRICS would become BICS (geopolitically and economically).

Вооружённые Си́лы Росси́йской Федера́ции, Vooruzhyonnyye Sily Rossiyskoy Federatsii (Russian Armed Forces) leaks like sieve. There are zero signals from it indicating an increase in posture towards nuclear war.