December 16th, 2024

Our muscles will atrophy as we climb the Kardashev Scale

Onur Solmaz's blog post examines how technological advancements and automation have reduced physical strength, outlining three Biomechanical Stages and raising concerns about future human evolution and physical fitness.

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Our muscles will atrophy as we climb the Kardashev Scale

Onur Solmaz's blog post discusses the implications of humanity's evolution through the Kardashev Scale, particularly focusing on the decline of physical strength as technology advances. Historically, before the industrial revolution, the majority of people engaged in physical labor, which naturally developed their strength. However, with the advent of machines and automation, the need for physical exertion has diminished, leading to a decline in average human strength. Solmaz outlines three Biomechanical Stages (BMS): BMS-I, where physical labor is essential; BMS-II, where machines reduce the need for manual work; and BMS-III, where technology may render physical bodies obsolete. He speculates that as humanity progresses, particularly into a post-biological stage, physical strength may become irrelevant, and the concept of what it means to be human could fundamentally change. The author expresses concern that while technological advancements have improved quality of life, they may also lead to a loss of physical capability and a divergence from our evolutionary roots. He questions how future humans will adapt to a world where movement is no longer necessary for survival and whether evolutionary pressures will still exist to maintain physical fitness.

- The transition from physical labor to automation has led to a decline in average human strength.

- Solmaz outlines three Biomechanical Stages reflecting humanity's relationship with physical exertion and technology.

- Future advancements may render physical bodies unnecessary, altering the definition of humanity.

- The author expresses concern about the loss of physical capability alongside technological progress.

- Questions arise about the future of human evolution and the maintenance of physical fitness in a technologically advanced society.

AI: What people are saying
The comments on Onur Solmaz's blog post reflect a range of opinions regarding the impact of technology on human physicality and fitness.
  • Many commenters dispute the claim that humans are becoming weaker, citing increased muscle mass and fitness levels in modern society compared to the past.
  • There is a significant focus on the role of nutrition and lifestyle choices in physical fitness, with some arguing that modern diets contribute to health issues.
  • Several comments express concern about mental fitness and cognitive decline as a result of technological reliance, suggesting that brain health may be more at risk than physical strength.
  • Some commenters highlight the potential for future advancements in biotechnology to mitigate issues of muscle atrophy, suggesting that solutions may be found through medical innovations.
  • Discussions about the Kardashev scale and its implications for future human evolution and societal structures are prevalent, with skepticism about the feasibility of such advancements.
Link Icon 57 comments
By @bradarner - 4 months
A castle built on sand. The only way to take the premise of this claim seriously is to ignore data for the past 100 years.

When I was in the US military, we all complained about the Body Mass Index standards. They were based on the WWII era "normal". Men were smaller. Less muscle mass. Shorter. If the average fit American young man tried to fit into a pilot's cockpit from the 1950's, it would feel quite cramped. Like it was built for much small people. It was.

We have certainly climbed the Kardashev scale since the 1950's. To what degree is a matter of contention. But, all would agree that we have moved up the scale.

Muscle atrophy has not been correlated with the growth. The opposite seems true. The average American, both male and female, has more muscle mass than in 1924. A 2024 person spends significantly more time on average in a gym pushing their muscles to hypertrophy than in 1924.

In addition, it is likely that the romantic picture of the average laborer "bodybuilding" is fictive and ignores how muscle atrophy and hypertrophy works. Most laborers are NOT doing activity that leads to hypertrophy. They are staying well within cardiovascular zones of muscle activation. Hence, bodybuilders as we know them are largely a modern phenomenon. And they are certainly WAY more muscular.

Seems the model that underlies this claim is built on seemingly demonstrably false premises.

By @DevX101 - 4 months
Bold take to proclaim we'll figure out interstellar travel before we figure out how to prevent muscle atrophy.
By @justinator - 4 months
I don't think I actually agree with this guy. As anyone who is trying to grow their body knows, rest is important -- just as important as working out and workouts aren't all-day affairs either. You can get very strong with only a few hours/week in the gym.

That's different than subsistence farming, where you're doing a lot of work at sub max levels most every day. You may get strongish, but you won't get large.

Consider a modern day elite marathon runner, who works out >10 hours/week. They can only do so at sub max levels of effort. The top end are prone to injury (overtraining), and the training itself limits muscle development.

The majority of us are getting weaker and fatter. A few of us are still testing the limits of human physiology. The difference is you have a choice to be whatever part of the spectrum you want to be. Most choose "weak and fat".

Much of this is tied to nutrition, which I don't think is talked about in the fine article. Same story, we have a choice to eat the best for us food, or to eat crap. That wasn't always the case for the subsistence farmer.

By @ecshafer - 4 months
This post vastly under-estimates the amount of malnutrition in most societies pre-modern times. Even with heavy physical labor, I would be willing to bet that the average physical laborer in say 1800, who we know was significantly smaller, would be weaker as well. Farmers and people who do physical labor do build muscles, but they also have modern high nutrition diets and medicine.
By @hwillis - 4 months
Silly.

1. Myostatin inhibitors are already in development. We're already using a drug that stops us from getting fat, why would we not use a drug that prevents atrophy?

2. This is entirely focused on what would be efficient at a global scale, while decisions are made on individual's desires. People (in general) want to look muscular and fit; it's as hardcoded into our reproductive desires as anything else is. Given increasing resources, is it reasonable to assert that people will choose to totally forgo their biological body? Why is it impossible for them to have the same productive advantages while retaining a physical body for when they want it?

Human desire trumps production, even in the long term, or at least medium term. I could eat monkey chow every day and never have to do dishes or cook ever again, and save an extra 10 hours a day. I could wear the same thing every day so a machine can fold it. I can put my brain in a jar to avoid commuting. But no matter how much technology advances, if I still spend 8 hours working with my brain implant or whatever then I'm still doing at worst 24% as good as the guy working 24/7. Why would it ever be worth giving up such basic human pleasures as eating or sex just for 4x the salary?

By @kibwen - 4 months
Not that our muscles aren't important, but I'm less worried about our muscles atrophying as a result of technology and more worried about our brains atrophying as a result of technology.
By @csense - 4 months
"The muscles are severely atrophied and the internal organs appear to be under-developed. The sensory organs, including the eyes, do not appear to function at all.

The brain, however, is well developed and draws on a high proportion of the body's blood supply. It is a mystery as to how this creature can sustain itself without external support."

The above quote is information you get from studying deceased bodies of a particularly advanced alien race in the original X-COM game, released in 1994.

(The X-COM in-universe explanation for the aliens' physiology is more psionic than cybernetic, as OP suggests. This makes OP a bit more credible than the Microprose writers, at least if your object is a discussion about plausible aliens or far-future humans in the real world within the known laws of physics. The aliens' psionic powers are kinda terrifying AF, so the Microprose prose does just fine for its intended purpose: Good storytelling for a computer game that makes no attempt to be fully real-world plausible / "hard" SF.)

By @snozolli - 4 months
In another vein, technology could also help us perfectly fit bodies by altering our cells at a molecular level. But if there is no need to move to contribute to the economy, why would anyone do such an expensive thing?

Because it's nice to have the strength when you need it. Also, it protects your body. I developed a bulged disc in my neck from decades of spending too much time at a computer. Muscular balance and variety of movement is critical to maintaining a healthy body. Not to mention benefits like lessening injuries from accidents.

By @SubiculumCode - 4 months
While its fun to explore ideas, this post commits the intellectual sin of simple extrapolation-ism when everything is just oh so much more complicated than that. As others are pointing out here in the threads, biological interventions for physical strength are inevitable.

This stands to reason once you mentally discard exercise as a pre-requisite of strength. An elephant is strong, not because it exercises, but because of the biological mechanisms e.g. genetics that says: grow big, grow strong, and the effect size of those mechanisms are much much larger than individual differences due to exercise. It is clear, at least to me, that the need for exercise for adjusting strength has more to do with not spending extra energy building a body that has high upkeep if it isn't needed for survival.

By @jonnycoder - 4 months
He says he has a hard time beating his feather in arm wrestling despite him working out. Anecdotally blue collar people have much strong wrist flexion (cupping) than us white collar people, but pronation and technique can help negate that. My experience shows that power cleans can help with arm wrestling but not many people do those.
By @PaulHoule - 4 months
I recently re-read Frederick Pohl's Plague Of Pythons which I will try hard not to spoil for you. In it there is not only the most evil set of villains that I've ever seen in science fiction based on dear Tellus, but they suffer muscular atrophy too.
By @dang - 4 months
Related. Others?

Kardashev Scale - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40327782 - May 2024 (28 comments)

Kardashev Scale - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27067895 - May 2021 (5 comments)

Classifying Civilisations: An Introduction to the Kardashev Scale - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26108947 - Feb 2021 (1 comment)

The Kardashev Scale - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24084021 - Aug 2020 (1 comment)

Nikolai Kardashev (of Kardashev scale fame) died - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20619494 - Aug 2019 (1 comment)

Kardashev Scale - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20603386 - Aug 2019 (31 comments)

Kardashev scale - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2183106 - Feb 2011 (15 comments)

By @visarga - 4 months
When we get to that point we will have the right methods to sculpt our bodies as we like. It's a matter of hormones or some other biological hack.
By @ANewFormation - 4 months
If society ever developed along the lines proposed, which is highly improbable to begin with, then speaking of humanity as a whole is a complete nonstarter.

We'd naturally fork, because that future sounds like a dystopic hellscape to many (if not the overwhelming majority).

And indeed once we reach the point of being able to reliably colonize other planets, large scale splintering (both physical and cultural) will begin near immediately. You'll have libertarian planet, Islamic planet, even the Mormons will finally have their planets! And so on.

And the people who want to sacrifice their bodies to go enter the machine will certainly have their own little slice of the universe as well.

By @inglor_cz - 4 months
This is a somewhat simplistic take. Yes, people worked with their hands, but there were also other factors in the mix:

* frequent starvation or food insecurity among anyone but the high class, not good for overall physique,

* high parasite load sucking you dry from within - read up something on how massive infestation with hookworm can sap big, adult men of power,

* infections like tuberculosis.

I would be surprised if a 16th century peasant had more muscle than a 21th century student who does at least some sports. They would be a lot more used to physical work, yes, but that is not the same as "our muscles have atrophied".

If anything, we might have weaker sinews, but not muscle per se, and our bones are almost certainly stronger, as we lack neither calcium nor important vitamins.

By @up2isomorphism - 4 months
He probably should worry about our brain atrophy sooner than our muscles.
By @maxglute - 4 months
Be hipster type II civilization brain in a jar. Wonder what it's like to have muscle / strength train. Incubate a body, start lifting.
By @usixk - 4 months
Physical health is directly correlated to mental health, if anything we'd all be jacked to the teets
By @comfortabledoug - 4 months
Physical fitness is a chemical process that we trigger with exercise; we will find a way to short-circuit/mimic it with pills or injections. There are already "exercise in a pill" compounds in the works.
By @tonetegeatinst - 4 months
Interesting blog post. I think the majority of what you see is that due to how rapidly technology and other fields have bloomed via human involment, and due to how we have become an interconnected society due to the industrial revolution.

I think that the major way humans cope/tackle this is via specialisation. While not for everyone, most people seem to find a job in a field, and the work in that field helps us support a more complicated society than we can fathom. Most people can't memorize all the stuff from multiple domains, or they would burn out. Most people don't understand how truly complex a semiconductor is, or how electricity and power is generated, or how to design a car. These are just basic examples but I'd argue a really good example of how humans have chosen a specific domain or thing and over time developed better understandings of the field and topic. The average person could do any job I'd argue.

We are not as physical as we used to be, we have "engineered" ourselves replacements. The tractor, the car; both replaced horses but at the cost of needing someone who understood the principal of the new technology.

Be it robot workers replacing amazon warehouse employees, or the tractor that improved the farmers ability to harvest or plant crops; both required smart people to not only develop them but to maintain them.

I'd argue while we really are less physically active, due to technology and general advancements we have made over the years; this comes at the cost of mental strain. We mentally must process and think more than ever before, pushing our brains to keep up so we can stay relevant.

By @mol0cule - 4 months
This makes me think that AI will never really take away our “purpose”. Machines have made most of our bodies obsolete long ago, yet we still find value and fulfillment in body building, going to the gym, strenuous physical labor. I believe this extends to intellectual effort and training as well. Even if memorization and most thinking becomes “obsolete” or subsidized, it will still have inherent value.
By @mr_mitm - 4 months
> My father grew up while working as a farmer on the side, then studied engineering. He never did proper strength training in his life. I grew up studying full-time, have been working out on and off, more so in the last couple of years. And I still have a hard time beating him in arm wrestling despite the 40 years of age gap.

Arm wrestling is a poor indicator of strength. Technique and experience account for much more than most people would think. Compare bench press, squat, deadlift numbers instead.

By @overgard - 4 months
I think the error here is assuming mind and body are separate things. In reality our body, even our gut bacteria, has a huge effect on how we think and feel. There's a reason why sensory deprivation or dissociative anesthetics like ketamine have such a huge effect on cognition. I just don't think the human mind is designed to be a brain in a jar through virtual reality or whatever. I think whatever attempts we make at doing that would probably drive a person insane.
By @m463 - 4 months
The Kardashev scale is a method of measuring a civilization's level of technological advancement based on the amount of energy it is capable of harnessing and using.
By @archagon - 4 months
I’ve been wondering if a similar phenomenon will be observed with our mental muscles. Will future generations know how to write a coherent e-mail or essay? Will they know how to approach solving a complex problem without AI assistance? Will doodling in class be supplanted by Midjourney prompting? Why bother thinking too hard when the machine can do it for you?

When we are all immersed in the substrate of AI, will there be a gym equivalent for the intellectual?

By @asdasdsddd - 4 months
Why do we use weird arbitrary milestones like the (logarithmic) Kardashev scale. It adds literally nothing useful to otherwise fun conversations like this.
By @tw04 - 4 months
All you need to do is look at the NFL to know how silly this claim is. At every level of sport, athletes have gotten bigger, stronger, and faster over the generations. You can write some of it off as hyper-specialization at the professional level, but that says nothing about small school single-a level competitors continuing to set new records in their respective sports.
By @xyst - 4 months
Uploaded intelligence will pave the way for BMS-III. Climate change resolved (no more need for ag, transportation of any kind, housing). Human brain uploaded to quantum servers cooled in Antartica.

Skeleton crew or robots to maintain physical world while a majority of humanity living in the matrix. Controlling machines from far away lands (or galaxies).

By @wcoenen - 4 months
Entanglement does not allow for "Zero-Latency Control". This is a common misconception.

See "No-communication theorem": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No-communication_theorem

By @Havoc - 4 months
I worry less about the physical muscles and more about the mental. Bit like calculators reduced people’s ability to do basic maths in their head - think similar will happen with AI.

I already find myself instinctively throwing any errors I can’t immediately figure out myself into a chatbot

By @m3kw9 - 4 months
Tech can surely overcome muscle atrophy if it was a real issue. Do we even need muscle if we add more powerful add on to walk for example? I would argue we want to keep muscle because we can have very precise control and feeling, unless the new stuff can make it even better.
By @caycep - 4 months
everyone knows our future is predicted by Wall-E
By @naasking - 4 months
Nah, moving up the Kardashev scale means more control over biology. "Workout in a pill" is not far off. Genetic engineering to retain high levels of fitness with little effort is in the realm of feasible too.
By @debesyla - 4 months
Side-topic, but for Biomechanical Stages (BMS) author skipped from pure muscle to industry ignoring the part where humanity started using animals for heavy/hard tasks of pulling, carrying, pushing.
By @keiferski - 4 months
I don't know, to me it seems like biomedical engineering and manipulation will take off and develop a lot sooner than people willingly "upload" their minds to a machine – itself a dubious idea full of problems. I think it's far more likely that current-state humans won't be exploring the stars, but a genetically modified version of them will be.

I think there is much less angst regarding the idea of upgrading humanity piecemeal, a la the Ship of Theseus, than there is to fully discarding one's body for a digital existence. This has already sort of happened over the last few hundred years with the concept of transplantable organs. Prior to the widespread acceptable of the interchangeability of organs, it was not uncommon to think that your self and body are unified and linked in a way that implied organ transplation was problematic or undesirable.

And on that note - is it just me, or are biological visions of humanity's future fairly scarce in sci-fi and in futurism (another name for sci-fi)? My guess is because such topics seem dominated by software engineers, physicists, etc. that are less interested in biology.

By @whatever1 - 4 months
I need three hands so that I can hold my smartphone at alll times
By @selimnairb - 4 months
I remember being struck a few years back when shaking the hand of a friend’s farmer father. He was about six-inches shorter than I am (6’1”) but his hands were MASSIVE.
By @photochemsyn - 4 months
Maintenance of one's muscular-skeletal system is a Goldilocks problem. Too little exercise leads to atrophy, but too much also leads to degeneration. Eg the productive lifetime of slaves in the labor-intensive Caribbean sugar plantation system was only about 10 years. Breakdown of joints, ligaments and tendons was a common problem related to overwork (and is commonly seen in athletic training today).

Similarly, my understanding of the history of yoga in India is that it was introduced because of the sedentary lifestyle of the Brahmin caste, and much like with office workers today in the USA, it served to keep them in decent physical shape.

By @rbanffy - 4 months
The timescales involved in us becoming even a K1 species are probably enough to say we won't be anything resembling current humans, neither physically nor socially.
By @swayvil - 4 months
The ideal towards which we all strive is, of course, the Dalek.
By @hoseja - 4 months
Muscle mass adaptiveness is an optimization for regular famine conditions.

We could choose to let go of it, like we recently chose to let go of ravenous hunger with GLP drugs.

By @RecycledEle - 4 months
Why not build a user interface that keeps us at peak health by demanding physical activity?
By @rbanffy - 4 months
> why would anyone do such an expensive thing?

I find it amusing that somehow resources would still be constrained as we go closer to be a Kardashev I civilization.

By @cyberax - 4 months
Stupid premise.

We already have exercise mimetics in pre-clinical trials. If you can keep yourself fit with zero expenditure of time, why wouldn't you?

By @nunez - 4 months
Absolutely correct.

Traditional office culture makes it very difficult to get a proper workout in while, at the same time, confining you mostly to your chair, hunched over a desk (and/or craning over a small screen), to view things on a screen that eats away at your eyes by default.

WFH made this worse. I've worked with so many people that start work at 0700 and end at 1700 or later.

Add shitty, cheap food, 2.5 kids and a partner in there, and you're basically on an express train to bad hips, bad knees, poor health markersa and immobility at (not so) old age.

"Work out during your lunch hour," you say. The author spends a lot of time on muscle use. Powerlifting workouts require lots of rest between sets, especially as you get stronger. Spending 2h on a workout is normal in powerlifting. Not happening during lunch hour, not like this matters because someone will just schedule a meeting over it anyway.

"But I wake up at 0400..." No. Just no. (A) A parent with two and a half kids is not getting up at ass o clock in the morning to chase that pump (or work out to stay healthy) when their kids are gonna wake them at 0640, and (b) this is an awesome way to either sleep like shit forever or incinerate the last fledglings of your social life.

All this aside, the farmer life is a super hard way to live, . Overuse injuries are very common. However, we went the complete opposite direction in building today's office culture, and it's a real shame.

By @UniverseHacker - 4 months
Modern technology and a sedentary job are what make it possible for me to do hard strength training 4x/week and eat a high protein diet. As an amateur strength athlete, I am almost certainly much physically stronger than any of my ancestors that didn’t have the luxury of eating like I do, or exercising specifically for strength. We have good ways to quantify this even because we have ancient stone lifting traditions- we know how strong the strongest ancient people were, and modern people that train for strength are much much stronger- we now have small women like Chloe Brennan that are as strong as word famous strongmen were a century ago.

Sometimes I hear people say strength is useless nowadays but I couldn’t disagree more. In emergency situations I have been able to push stranded cars uphill to a safer spot, carry injured people and animals to safety, move large furniture and car parts myself, etc. Being more attractive to romantic partners is no downside either, nor is being able to eat a lot and not get fat. Strength makes modern life easier and more fun.

By @pshirshov - 4 months
> I think that by the time we reach other stars

Isn't that the ultimate hubris?

By @Avlin67 - 4 months
muscle size is to heat the body, more than giving strengh. human muscles are inefficient on purpose
By @frankhhhhhhhhh - 4 months
Sounds a lot like slavery.
By @cadamsau - 4 months
My non physical desk job leaves me with a fresh body after my very much non 12 hour workday.

Because I have the physical energy to, I take that body to the ocean for a swim, to the park for a cycle, and to anywhere with a nice view for a run. Depending on the day. Oh and the gym is a pleasant 12 minute walk from home, so I do that a few times a week as well.

Sorry to burst your bubble OP.

By @zesterer - 4 months
> Interesting blog post

No, no it's not. There is nothing redeeming to be found here, it's nonsense. It's historially ignorant trad-pilled vibes about the past combined with bizarre techbro mumbo jumbo about the future. Neither have any meaningful grounding in reality, nor anything interesting to say about the world.

By @rekabis - 4 months
Bold of them to assume we’ll survive the century at any level above the Iron Age, and with any population above the high millions to low billions.

Capitalism is keeping us locked into the “Business As Usual” model that will bring us to civilization-destroying climate change by the middle of the century, and with tropics-denying lethally high wet bulb temperatures that will get well into the temperate zone by the end of the century. Think most of CONUS being uninhabitable for multiple days to weeks every year, with or without AC.

By @throw4847285 - 4 months
The Kardashev Scale isn't pseudoscience, but it is pseudo-psychohistory.
By @ganzuul - 4 months
...So I'm advanced?

This means I'm advanced.