December 24th, 2024

Masks, Smoke, and Mirrors: The untold story of EgyptAir flight 804

EgyptAir flight 804 vanished in May 2016, leading to a contentious investigation. A 2024 report revealed new evidence but did not resolve the cause, highlighting challenges in aviation inquiries.

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Masks, Smoke, and Mirrors: The untold story of EgyptAir flight 804

EgyptAir flight 804, an Airbus A320, vanished from radar on May 19, 2016, while flying from Paris to Cairo, leading to the loss of all 66 passengers and crew. The investigation into the crash became contentious, with Egyptian and French authorities disagreeing on the cause—Egypt suggested a bomb, while French investigators leaned towards a cockpit fire. After years of silence, Egypt released a comprehensive 663-page report in October 2024, which included both its findings and a French report that presented a different narrative. The reports revealed new evidence, including alarming messages sent by the aircraft's communication system shortly before the crash, indicating smoke and multiple system failures. The investigation had been complicated by the political implications of the crash, reminiscent of a previous incident involving EgyptAir. The release of the reports has reignited discussions about the true cause of the disaster, which remains unresolved despite the new information. The article emphasizes the challenges faced in uncovering the truth and the potential for conflicting narratives in aviation investigations.

- EgyptAir flight 804 disappeared in May 2016, leading to a complex investigation.

- Disagreement between Egyptian and French authorities over the cause of the crash persisted for years.

- A 663-page report released in October 2024 provided new evidence but did not conclusively resolve the mystery.

- Alarming pre-crash messages indicated smoke and system failures on board the aircraft.

- The investigation highlights the difficulties in aviation accident inquiries, especially with political sensitivities involved.

AI: What people are saying
The comments on the article about EgyptAir flight 804 reveal various perspectives on the investigation and its implications.
  • Criticism of the investigation process, with some commenters suggesting bias and incompetence among Egyptian authorities.
  • Discussion of the technical aspects of aviation safety, including the role of oxygen in fires and the effectiveness of fire extinguishers.
  • References to other aviation incidents, highlighting a pattern of issues related to pilot behavior and safety culture.
  • Concerns about the credibility of scientific practices in Egypt, suggesting a broader issue of trust in governmental institutions.
  • Summaries of findings from the investigation, indicating a mechanical failure as a likely cause of the crash.
Link Icon 16 comments
By @ordu - 4 months
> if it was a coverup, then the EAAID gave away its own game by attaching the BEA’s comprehensive findings.

I'd say, that EAAID had written the report in a way to make the coveraup unmistakable. I mean, the reasoning is not just bad, it contradicts to itself in a way, that to my mind one couldn't achieve without a deliberation. So it is possible that EAAID was forced to support the hypothesis but resisted it in the only way it could.

By @inglor_cz - 4 months
On a somewhat related note, Egyptian science tends to suffer from a massive scientific misconduct (fraud) problem - see for example this paper by Egyptian authors, which covers the medical field:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.02.20.23286195v...

Maybe the attitude towards "truth vs. face" is similar in Egyptian governmental institutions.

Egypt in general is a low-trust society, scoring lower than India or Russia, though not much lower than usual in Africa.

https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/iab8r7/social_trus...

This indicates that lived experience of the Egyptians themselves, when it comes to trusting others, is somewhat bad.

By @qingcharles - 4 months
This is wild to me:

  "Even though passengers have been forbidden from smoking on airplanes for 25 years, the rules about smoking in the cockpit are less straightforward, and international regulations appear to invest the captain with the authority to decide whether smoking will be allowed or not."
By @userbinator - 4 months
In all tests, the fire, propelled by the oxygen leak, produced a terrifying “blowtorch” effect, and the flames were literally white-hot.

Sufficient concentrations of oxygen can cause even steel to burn: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_lance

There must be a reason they use pure oxygen, as regular compressed air, also breathable, would not have the same intense reactivity.

By @stall84 - 4 months
This had all the tone from the outset to just be narrowly focussed on this crash-investigation alone, but the writer did dedicate a paragraph to Egyptair Flight 990 from 1999.. An incident that really was one of the first modern airline pilot-suicide's that has never (The NTSB's conclusion) been agreed upon by Egypt. And in the past couple of decades that number has risen at an alarming pace (LAM Mozambique Flight 470 2013, Malaysian Airlines Flight 370 2014, Germanwings Flight 9525 2015) < That extremely frightening and tight grouping of incidents seems to have been followed by a few years of normalcy. Then most recently the China Eastern Flight 5735 that China is still apparently working on a report for, but don't expect much in the way of admission on China's part, of course. But at any rate, there is a noticeable problem in the corps of pilots being selected to fly for several airlines, even really good airlines.
By @dmckeon - 4 months
Tragedy from a Swiss cheese failure - several small holes/failures all line up. The issue of halon extinguishers versus oxygen-powered combustion producing many toxins while failing to extinguish is interesting - good that:

> Halon fire extinguishers are scheduled to be phased out of most commercial aircraft by the end of 2025.

By @soapboxrocket - 4 months
Reminds me a bit of the UPS Flight 6 that crashed in 2010. Wasn't the cause of the fire, but the fire heated up the co-pilots oxygen system to the point he couldn't wear it and eventually succumbed to smoke hypoxia. Due to smoke in the cabin the pilot couldn't see his flight deck readouts or out the window and eventually crashed into the ground.
By @mmooss - 4 months
Does anyone know the author's background? All I see is 'analyzer of plane crashes'.
By @blueflow - 4 months
By @amelius - 4 months
With all the high speed trains in Europe, I'm wondering why we don't see more security around them. It seems a much easier target than airplanes.
By @gus_massa - 4 months
Why do they use pure oxygen tanks? Isn't it possible to use a mix of oxygen and nitrogen? Doesn't divers use a mix?
By @eadmund - 4 months
> there was no evidence that the pilots of flight 804 smoked during the flight. But even though the BEA found that a cigarette didn’t cause the fire on flight 804 … the BEA recommended that EASA examine these risks and amend regulations as necessary

Smoking had nothing to do with this incident. Their own testing showed that holding a cigarette in the oxygen stream was (surprisingly) not dangerous. The only risk from cigarettes they found was deliberately trying to light oxygen tubing with a cigarette.

And yet, despite a complete lack of both relevance and evidence, they included a recommendation to clamp down on pilot smoking. Anti-smoking is hysteria.

By @ngneer - 4 months
A rather well-written piece. My takeaway is that the French investigators are pros and the Egyptians are hacks. And that safety culture matters. One must not bend the facts to draw a desired conclusion. One must review the data without bias, or else recuse oneself.