1/4 of startups in YC current cohort have almost entirely AI-generated codebases
25% of Y Combinator startups use AI for up to 95% of their code, highlighting a trend towards "vibe coding," while emphasizing the need for foundational coding skills to address potential security issues.
Read original articleA recent discussion revealed that 25% of startups in Y Combinator's current cohort have codebases that are predominantly generated by AI, with estimates suggesting that up to 95% of their code is AI-created. This trend is attributed to advancements in AI models that enhance coding efficiency. Y Combinator's managing partner, Jared Friedman, emphasized that these founders are technically skilled and capable of building products from scratch, but are now leveraging AI for significant portions of their coding tasks. The concept of "vibe coding," introduced by Andrej Karpathy, highlights a new approach where developers use natural language to interact with AI models for coding. However, reliance on AI-generated code poses challenges, including potential security flaws and the need for developers to possess the skills to identify and rectify issues in the code. Y Combinator leaders noted that while AI can assist in coding, foundational coding knowledge remains essential for long-term product sustainability. The excitement around AI-powered coding is reflected in the substantial funding raised by startups in this space, indicating that this trend is likely to persist and evolve in the tech industry.
- 25% of Y Combinator startups have codebases that are 95% AI-generated.
- Founders are technically skilled but increasingly rely on AI for coding tasks.
- "Vibe coding" allows developers to use natural language for coding with AI.
- AI-generated code can introduce security flaws, necessitating developer oversight.
- The trend of AI in coding is expected to continue growing in the tech landscape.
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Naturally, that brings to mind the classic:
> Everyone knows that debugging is twice as hard as writing a program in the first place. So if you're as clever as you can be when you write it, how will you ever debug it?
-- Brian Kernighan, The Elements of Programming Style
And also:
> Programs must be written for people to read, and only incidentally for machines to execute.
-- Abelson & Sussman, Structure and Interpretation of Computer Programs
I think our initial reactions as SWEs may be to dismiss this, but if non technical folks (who might be closer to a real customer need) can spin something up to get traction, that’s a win. What is important is delivering value to end users. I wonder how many genuinely good business ideas never happened in the past because a technical cofounder wasn’t available.
how many YC-backed startups (in general, not just the current batch) have products based in some way on LLM code-generation?
it seems like there's a significant chance for a conflict of interest here, where YC has an incentive to build up hype about LLM-generated codebases in order to benefit their overall portfolio.
will we see a follow-up story several months or a year from now, comparing how these startups have fared relative to the other 3/4ths of the batch? if one of them is a success, probably. if all of them fizzle out...maybe not.
One example of "drudge work" is that I'm currently refactoring all strings in the app. Before cursor, it would take me upwards of an hour to refactor the strings in a complex component but now I can just shove all that into cursor and have it do it for me.
For simple questions it sometimes works great and other times just falls apart. In one scenario I asked it why my sequelize query didn't return the data I expected and it immediately gave me a fix. But in another scenario I asked it how to refactor out a "forwardRef" in a component and it just kept recommending that I leave the code as is.
However, in my experience using these reasoning models to generate giant chunks of code usually has disastrous results and barely even works even when working from a clean sheet.
To which I say: a race to the bottom is still a race, yes, but not one you want to win
But they'll be fucking rich.
And hey, I get both Techcrunch and YC need clickbaity, hyperbolic PR, but guys, don't jump the shark on this.
95%? I wish! Either they have access to some seriously next NeXt NEXT gen stuff, or this is pure nonsense, exaggerated by at least half an order of magnitude.
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