August 2nd, 2024

Big Tech Fails to Convince Wall Street That AI Is Paying Off

Big Tech companies like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet face investor skepticism as AI investments yield disappointing sales results, leading to stock declines, while Meta and Apple report better outcomes from their AI initiatives.

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Big Tech Fails to Convince Wall Street That AI Is Paying Off

Big Tech companies, including Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet, have struggled to demonstrate to Wall Street that their significant investments in artificial intelligence (AI) are yielding tangible sales results. Following their recent earnings reports, shares of these companies have declined, with Alphabet's stock dropping 7.4%, Microsoft experiencing a decrease, and Amazon facing its largest drop since October 2022. Despite the anticipated mass adoption of generative AI technologies, the expected profits have not yet materialized, raising concerns about the effectiveness of these investments.

While the cloud-computing divisions of these companies showed growth, it was insufficient to satisfy investors eager for returns after extensive spending on AI infrastructure. Amazon's projected operating income for the third quarter fell short of expectations, prompting CEO Andy Jassy to emphasize the importance of capital expenditures in supporting AI initiatives. Alphabet's outlook lacked specific details on AI-related growth, and Microsoft reported a slowdown in Azure's sales growth, despite AI contributing positively.

In contrast, Meta Platforms raised its capital expenditure forecast due to AI investments, reporting better-than-expected revenue. Apple also indicated that new AI features would boost iPhone sales. The overall sentiment in the tech sector remains cautious, particularly for chipmakers like Nvidia and Intel, which have seen significant stock declines amid fears of insufficient returns on AI investments. Analysts are increasingly questioning whether the anticipated benefits of AI will justify the substantial financial commitments made by these companies.

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By @cedws - 3 months
There is still no business model. $20 for end user subscriptions isn’t going to cut it and cost per token is still falling so there is less and less money to be made from the commercial side as time goes on. There’s still no killer app either.

I’m not a total hater, I did have a “wow” moment with LLMs and do see some value in them. But there is an ongoing mass psychosis that we’re about to enter some kind of age of digital hyperintelligence when we’re nowhere near it.

By @talldayo - 3 months
Someone could replace the Bloomberg Terminal with a single dial that includes all three investor sentiments in one convenient interface: "Fund radical startups", "Support the Incumbants" and "Invest in War"
By @nuz - 3 months
Investors betting on openai wrappers with no moat outraged at losing money.
By @tim333 - 2 months
This is the usual market journalism where you see prices are down over the previous days and try to guess a reason to ascribe it eg "Stocks down because AI!" but the three stocks mentioned are also up about 100% since the start of 2023 which you could probably ascribe "Stocks up because AI!"

Which is just to say journos seeing the price is up or down a bit is not very reliable accounting at to whether AI is paying off or not.

By @beardyw - 3 months
I took a look at the offerings of Suno and Udio for music generation. They are pretty smart and give quite good results. But, whilst numbers are hard to verify, there are many tens of thousands of tracks added to Spotify every day. To stand out in the crowd requires name recognition, live touring, visual image, etc. I can't see how AI music can really make money. I don't feel a track for grandma's birthday will pay the rent.
By @blastonico - 3 months
First bad[1] of a series of great results: see, I told you it's a bubble.

[1] not bad results at all, it's simply not as surprising as the Wall St. expected. It's still better than initially predicted.