August 7th, 2024

Don't Pivot into AI Research

The article highlights challenges for computer science students entering machine learning, noting that large companies dominate the field, potentially leading to lower salaries and prestige for researchers.

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Don't Pivot into AI Research

The article discusses the challenges and realities facing computer science students and new graduates who aspire to enter the field of machine learning and AI research. While the field appears attractive and promising, the author argues that the future will be dominated by a few large companies that can afford the significant capital required for scaling AI technologies. This concentration of demand will lead to a decrease in salaries and prestige for machine learning researchers, similar to the decline experienced by chip designers in the past. As the supply of talent increases and the number of significant employers shrinks, many aspiring researchers may find themselves in roles that do not lead to production or are merely status-driven. The author encourages individuals to reflect on their personal goals and consider alternative career paths, rather than blindly following the trend of pursuing AI research.

- The machine learning field is becoming increasingly capital-intensive, favoring a few large companies.

- An oversupply of talent in AI research may lead to falling salaries and reduced job prestige.

- The dynamics in AI research mirror past trends in chip design, where demand and status declined.

- Aspiring researchers should evaluate their personal goals rather than follow trends blindly.

- The future of AI research may not be as lucrative or prestigious as currently perceived.

Link Icon 7 comments
By @luke-stanley - 4 months
Not all kinds of scaling requires high up front capital costs. Some of us are interested in exploring fundamental contours of intelligence here, and there are lots of fascinating threads to pull on.

Nothing wrong with exploring motivations though as this article does. Maybe the job market trends they speak of will be true but I hope that's not a primary motivation. There's exploration to do!

By @aabhay - 4 months
I think folks are misreading the article. Its not claiming that AI research isn’t valuable, its advocating for not pivoting into AI research. Research in any field requires a giant surplus of passion and talent. Go to where your passion and talent can bear fruit, not where your spreadsheet of pros and cons and risk adjusted pay grade lead you.
By @nextworddev - 4 months
People are too obssessed with "status" with these types of decisions.

At the end of the day, if you go into any field chasing money or status, and if you fail, you will really be left with nothing.

So go into AI research if that's what you are interested in. If not, don't do it. Simple as that.

By @gmaster1440 - 4 months
> Scale beats all else. The best performance improvements come from increasing scale, rather than incremental insights in novel architectures.

...until the next novel architecture is discovered, which won't happen without said AI research.

By @Imnimo - 4 months
I really disagree with this. There are lots of topics in AI research that are not just "make the best possible model on this task assuming you have unlimited compute".